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River bluff 25nlz

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River bluff 25nlz

Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players) BN: $22.47
SB: $58.98
BB: $45.77
UTG: $27.80 (Hero)
MP: $52.41
CO: $51.17
Preflop ($0.35) Hero is UTG with T A
Hero raises to $0.75, 4 folds, BB raises to $2.54, Hero calls $1.79
Flop ($5.18) Q 9 4
BB bets $1.63, Hero calls $1.63
Turn ($8.44) Q 9 4 8
BB checks, Hero bets $6.10, BB calls $6.10
River ($20.64) Q 9 4 8 7
BB checks

I considered raising on the flop as I can have QQ and 99 here, but I think mixing in some calls with NFD works fine.

I'm going to have some sets and straights on the turn here as well as some overpairs, so I think this hand is a reasonable choice to bluff, I block AA, AQ and JT. Is he shoves turn I would call expecting to see some mixture of overpairs and weaker draws.

On the river same argument, I have plenty of value hands and he may fold hands like TT-JJ, 9x, J8/T8. I think KJss would shove turn and it's hard for him to find a call on the turn with other gutshots and A highs but not impossible that he has something like that.

I guess the parts of the hand I'm not sure about are whether I should be raising this flop wider and including this hand, and whether my turn sizing makes it harder to get people to fold anything on the river.

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