River bet
Posted by bucski
Posted by bucski posted in Low Stakes
River bet
Kind of thought my river bet here was bad, but on closer analysis I think it is ok
https://www.weaktight.com/h/54e714fca52511f3598befdb
Villain opens with a range something like AA-88,AKo-AQo,AKs-AQs,KQs
He could cbet with a lot of those hands (cbet was 59 over 3k hands)
When he checks the turn I think we can remove a lot of his hands. I think he always bets AK here to protect against the flush hitting, same with QQ,1010,JJ. Prob bets KQs as it has plenty of outs? Checking back AQ?
I never have AK, but I do have 89s, sets, and FDs.
On river I don't think he has a straight, as he would have bet AK on turn and rarely holds 89s, nor does he have sets as he would have bet these on the turn to protect his hand. So most likely hands are AA,KK or maybe 99-77 say.
So my bet here might get a crying call from AA-KK and therefore is better than checking. Obv I am folding to a XR - if he checked turn with a made hand.
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