river bet size question.

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

river bet size question.

None: Jon Doe: $0
villain is an aggresive reg
villain 25/20/cb 78/wwsf 50/wtsd 24 - 9k hands

whats your betsize on the river


BTN: $274.25
SB: $250.70
Hero (BB): $208.08
UTG: $194.60
CO: $322.45

Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero is BB with Ad Jd
1 fold, CO raises to $5, 2 folds, Hero calls $3

Flop: ($11.00) Kh Td 5h (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks

Turn: ($11.00) Ah (2 players)
Hero bets $8.00, CO calls $8

River: ($27.00) 3s (2 players)
Hero

5 Comments

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rjlynch 12 years, 2 months ago
I'd go pretty large $25-$27 as I'd want to be bluffing here as often as possible but I don't think our hand fits very well into our overbet range
brodyz 12 years, 2 months ago
thats interesting, i see where youre coming from with the whole balance thing, but if we bet as big as you advocate then im sure we will almost never be getting called by worse.
I also dont think we would need to bomb it here with our bluffs considering villains range is heavily weighted towards 10x
tozzy 12 years, 2 months ago
He will have some Ax-hands that decided not to c-bet as well though. And if you think he folds too much when you bet big-ish then you should go for that betsizing in those spots - it's not as if you'll lose a ton of value by not making him call. It's good for your range and it will make it tougher for him.
flatbreadpizza 12 years, 2 months ago
HATE betting that large. I believe the 2 most common situations range vs range on the river are1. One where our range wants to increase the profit from our nuttish range and allow us to bet teh most combos of air2. One where our range wants to get the most value without causing too many folds from the lower part of villians range that causes us to be valuecutting ourselves too much with hands we'd like to valuebet and getting worst odds on our bluffs. This is clearly the latter case imo.

We really don't have enough airish hands in our range to even easily construct a balanced range and a lot of the times our opponent will have AQ AJ AT here when we do have air or are turning 77 into a bluff and we will want to give ourselves a good price and just target his tx ect. range to get value from. We don't want to take a hand like AJ and valuecut ourselves while getting more folds out of his weaker parts of his range. IF we want to have a large bet range on the river it should be very polorized and rare so AJ should definately not be in it.

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