Raise river? He reps so thin

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Raise river? He reps so thin

Winning Poker Network (Yatahay) - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com

SB: 100 BB (VPIP: 21.19, PFR: 14.50, 3Bet Preflop: 7.21, Hands: 274)
BB: 115.5 BB (VPIP: 20.35, PFR: 16.96, 3Bet Preflop: 7.04, Hands: 1,419)
UTG: 104 BB (VPIP: 23.27, PFR: 15.92, 3Bet Preflop: 7.69, Hands: 252)
MP: 86.5 BB (VPIP: 18.78, PFR: 13.26, 3Bet Preflop: 5.26, Hands: 186)
CO: 233 BB (VPIP: 36.25, PFR: 13.75, 3Bet Preflop: 8.82, Hands: 82)
Hero (BTN): 173.5 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has As Jd
fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 2 BB, SB calls 1.5 BB, fold

Flop : (5 BB, 2 players) 9s 6h 4s
SB checks, Hero checks

Turn : (5 BB, 2 players) 7h
SB bets 2.4 BB, Hero calls 2.4 BB

River : (9.8 BB, 2 players) 4c
SB bets 4.7 BB, Hero calls 4.7 BB

3 Comments

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Will Winaton 9 years, 4 months ago

I would cbet this combo always here. Turn I guess you can call once, unless he bets a lot of rivers.
Calling doesn't seem too good. He's gonna have a lot of thin vbets with this sizing, so I would mostly fold to the river bet..
Raising makes sense to balance 4x, 77, but it depends a lot on population tendencies as well.

stanier101 9 years, 4 months ago

not sure how villian reps thin? he can easily have all his boats here flatting from SB, 21/14 guys wont be 3betting small pairs from the SB IMO. So he can easily be super nutted here.

I think cbetting is fine with this exact combo, and then barreling when you improve on turn. Id check back all my non As AJ combo's. Calling turn as played is horrible IMO, he will occasionally just barrel a naked flush draw that picked up equity after you checked flop which you beat but still, you have so many better combos to continue with. I think calling river is disastrous against a 21/14 guy, you practically never win here.

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