QTs flop straight vs short fish
Posted by FuZuK
Posted by
FuZuK
posted in
Low Stakes
QTs flop straight vs short fish
Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
SB: $25.97 (103.9 bb)
BB: $26.45 (105.8 bb)
MP: $32.27 (129.1 bb)
CO: $9.67 (38.7 bb)
Hero (BTN): $33.62 (134.5 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BTN with T
Q
MP folds, CO calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1, 2 folds, CO calls $0.75
Flop: ($2.35) 8 J
9
(2 players)
CO checks, Hero bets $1.11, CO calls $1.11
Turn: ($4.57) T
(2 players)
CO checks, Hero bets $2.16, CO calls $2.16
River: ($8.89) Q (2 players)
CO bets $5.40, Hero calls $5.40
Results: $19.69 pot ($1.09 rake)
Final Board: 8 J 9 T Q
CO showed A K and won $18.60 ($8.93 net)
Hero showed T Q and lost (-$9.67 net)
Fish: 60/0, limp/call 100%, wtsd 42% aggr 0.3 100 hands.
What about sizing flop and turn? Never mind to river tilt call.
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Versus a passive fish/calling station I would bet larger to try to extract as much value as possible. He will have alot of hands that hit this board that he is gonna call with. And seeing him call down with AK here is proof of how insanely wide he is calling. Calling station is not sensitive to betsize, his range will be quite inelastic. I would bet around 2.15 on flop and 4.15 on turn or something.
And as you already mentioned. Super passive guy starts betting = no bluff.
Thx for review! One question: would he calling larger sizing with AK, third pair, weak gutshots? I don't think so.
He drawing dead, and i always play on stack with spot. I mean, i must try remain his range wide.
Agree with increasing the bet size for all the mentioned reasons. Sure, this exact hand might not call a biger c-bet, but most of the hands in his range will. But I would advocate to basically put villain all-in on the turn. think if you make it 2.15 on the flop then villain has 6.52 left behind in a pot of 6.3 by the turn. If you then bet 4.15 you leave behind a weird 1/7 pot size bet on the river with literally zero fold equity. imo putting his top pair, two pair, pair + draw hands all-in on the turn is the most profitable play (especially vs an identified fish).
Hes not drawing dead as you can see and you certainly must bet turn bigger.
I see your point but I think your focus is misplaced. In a situation where you have the nuts on a board where villain has many second best hands that will be able to call 2+ streets, your focus should be to maximize profit from this part of villains range. Think of it like this: when you bet smaller to extract value from AK in this spot you give up value from all the other hands in villains range that would call a bigger bet. In short I'm pretty sure that the value you gain from getting AK to call is far less then the value you loose from the other hands in villains range. When we choose our betsize the aim should be to maximize profit from villains entire range. And its important to see the difference between this and maximize the % of hands villain will continue with. Hope this make sense. :)
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