QQ river play vs reg
Posted by LBN
Posted by
LBN
posted in
Low Stakes
QQ river play vs reg
BN: $69.77
SB: $60.09
BB: $49.75
UTG: $50.75 (Hero)
HJ: $160.39
CO: $200.69
SB: $60.09
BB: $49.75
UTG: $50.75 (Hero)
HJ: $160.39
CO: $200.69
Preflop
($0.75)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
Q
Q
Hero raises to $1.50, HJ calls $1.50, CO calls $1.50, BN folds, SB folds, BB folds
Hero raises to $1.50, HJ calls $1.50, CO calls $1.50, BN folds, SB folds, BB folds
Flop
($5.25)
2
7
5
(3 Players)
Hero bets $4,
HJ calls $4,
CO folds
Turn
($13.25)
2
7
5
T
(2 Players)
Hero bets $9.48,
HJ calls $9.48
River
($32.21)
2
7
5
T
6
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
HJ bets $18
I don't have many stats on the guy but I'm sure he's a reg. I don't know about my river play. I could just bet/fold but what sizing should I choose? XC seems also a bit bad, especially vs this sizing which looks like a valuebet. I block some of his FDs but he would bet more with these I suppose. How do you play this spot?
Loading 6 Comments...
I think i just bet/fold rvr to not allow him to xback Tx, JJ type hands.
Not sure if x/c makes sense he does have some busted FDs but ye we block some and the Axhh might think they have a tiny bit of sdv and checkback rvr not sure.
I think I'm still calling in this situation. The line that you take with cbet, bet turn, check river looks like a missed heart draw or AQ AK AJ. It almost looks like we're giving up on the pot. Villain has plenty of chips to take a stab on the river and he's giving himself a pretty decent price to do it.
I'm still learning some pot odds here but it looks like you have to call 18 to make 50.21 which means you only have to be right ~35% of the time? (50.21 / 18) = 2.79 so 1:2.79 = ~35%.
It looks like we have a deceptively strong hand here. With the price we're being offered and the actual hand we have I like a call. I'd be interested to hear more ideas from others about this hand.
Well yes we do have a nice price to call but his small sizing makes it look more like a valuebet. I'd guess he chooses a bigger sizing with his bluffs. I don't think he's vbetting JJ or Tx here (ok, maybe JJ some small % of the time). Remember we're UTG and we cbet the flop 3 ways
I would probably bet around halfpot. Without the Qh I like a x/c more.
As played I am calling this off, the only hand that got there is 89, but he also has missed flush draws he could bluff with. He really shouldnt be value betting Tx OTR.
As played, I think you should prolly cbet the river, to get value from JJ, but also some Tx combos like ATs, JhTh, 9hTh
I think in this spot we should x/f QdQx and x/c our other three Qs, the Qd blocker is very bad considering what he can be bluffing river with. I think betting here can be good if villain never bluff-raises but if villain ever bluff-raises it is much worse than x/f unless his betting range vs a x/f is massively warped or his raising range is knowably unbalanced such that we can just call against it.
Another possibility would be to bet our 3 QdQx and x/c our QQ with no diamond if we think that villain has raised TTT already sometimes, or if we think he never has 777 or lower pps. Also whether or not he flats AA-KK ever makes a very big difference.
Overall I think it's close but I would tend towards x/f > 0.5p bet > x/c with this hand. I could be swayed by some numbers analysis though :).
Edit: heart, not diamond.
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