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QQ river fold vs nit

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

QQ river fold vs nit

Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (5 Players) SB: $15.71
BB: $10.71 (Hero)
UTG: $8.10
CO: $10.00
BN: $10.22
Villain 19/13 (EP open 15) 328hands
AF 1.6 cbet 67 tcbet 42 WTSD 16
Preflop ($0.15) Hero is BB with Q Q
UTG raises to $0.30, 3 folds, Hero calls $0.20
I just don't like 3b nits like this that are opening UTG>
Flop ($0.65) 3 4 T
Hero checks, UTG bets $0.40, Hero calls $0.40
I think calling is fine.
Turn ($1.45) 3 4 T 9
Hero checks, UTG bets $0.90, Hero calls $0.90
Still fine.
River ($3.25) 3 4 T 9 7
Hero checks, UTG bets $6.50 and is all in, Hero folds
Is he ever shipping here as a bluff ? Because of his 2x ovetbet sizing I considered calling... but then decided that is probably horribly -EV in the long run.

1) Would you 3b PF vs this nit?
2) How would you play F+T?
3) Would you call river?

8 Comments

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cpau 10 years, 2 months ago

looks good to me. Vs an overbet like that, Im folding. The spot become interesting if vilain bets 1/2 - 2/3 pot OTR. I dont think a nitty player would 3barel TPTK on a board like this. If he does, we only beat AT and JJ and loses to KK, AA, sets (TT and 99) and flushes..

sweet16 10 years, 2 months ago

what Limp said, calling here would be a extremely big mistake vs any sizing pretty much (unless he bets like 2bb or something silly). But a guy who's playing 19/13 at nl10 open utg and got 16 WTSD is a) never bluffing b) not light for value, and we're extremely far behind vs his value betting range, he never got jacks here.

Alejo089 10 years, 2 months ago

1 - Yeah, definitely standard x3.
2 - Call, since your main idea was pot control (I mean, you started that line not 3 betting pre)
3 - Fold

2+3 are fine in my opinion, as the whole hand in general.

kiDcAnUck 10 years, 2 months ago

People call 3bets wider when ip so I think you should value 3b wider oop, so I personally would 3b JJ+,AK oop bb/ and KK+ ip on bu vs utg.
If there really tight ill start flatting JJ and AK.

as played flop,turn are best I think, River he has KJh everytime...

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