QQ flop decision 10NL

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QQ flop decision 10NL

BN: $20.67
SB: $5.08
BB: $11.39 (Hero)
UTG: $3.73
HJ: $10
CO: $11.70
SB: 58/0 (33 hands)
CO: 19/10 (111 hands)
Preflop ($0.15) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt Q Q
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO raises to $0.30, BN calls $0.30, SB calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1.90, CO calls $1.70, BN folds, SB calls $1.70
Flop ($6.30) T 3 J (3 Players)
SB checks, Hero bets $3.30, CO raises to $6.60, SB calls $3.08, Hero folds
I scared when the flop came down, because TT-JJ are completed, and there aren't so much combos left which pays me.
CO's range according to his stats looks like {TT-AA; rare Qx SC type hands; AJ???; rare AQ; KJ??}

Ultimately CO took a weird move; He minraised me in a squeezed pot. I put him on set of T or J or pocket K+ immediately.

I had 15% pot odds to call, but I think it's a pretty strong line. I think I'm never ahead against his range...

Maybe it's a very exploitable and bad fold, but my thread whispered me, I'm behind.

I'm very interested about this hand, please check it guys!

Thank You!!
Turn ($19.28) J (2 Players)
River ($19.28) 5 (2 Players)

5 Comments

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whysoeasy 11 years, 3 months ago

Hey I would fold too don't really see a a 19/10 (or almost anyone at 10nl) raise bluff here. His range PF already look like a lot TT-JJ and you have a blocker on the few bluff he can have (AsQs,KsQs).

whysoeasy 11 years, 3 months ago

I think you even should c/f flop vs a CO bet. Like said that flop hit a lot his range and I don't think he will bet his bad hands often enough with a short to speak to be too worry about being bluffed. He will also never slow play a set so you can easily c/push vs SB bet. And if all check reevaluate turn

BigFiszh 11 years, 3 months ago

I´m not sure if CO would call with KK+, leaving several limpers behind him that likely come along and join the party.

As played I share your concern, although I´d add JTs to his range. It´s correct that you´re getting amazing odds, but what does that help? The good thing is that the shortstack, which is all-in now, kinda protects the pot, it´s unlikely CO is bluffing the river - but is he ever bluffing anyways?!

So, there´s no way you can call and fold the river, you had to shove the flop. Which changes the odds again, now you shove 6.19 to win 22.17 (CO is NEVER folding), which means you need 22% - and the pot is 3-way, so it´s actually a very, very close spot, probably not even really close, I totally understand your fold.

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