qjs tripple barrel vs miss cb?

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qjs tripple barrel vs miss cb?

Blinds: $0.10/$0.20 (4 Players) SB: $82.05
BB: $19.01
CO: $20.14
BN: $21.24 (Hero)
Preflop ($0.30) Hero is BN with Q J
CO raises to $0.50, Hero calls $0.50, SB calls $0.40, BB folds
Flop ($1.70) 2 K 5
SB checks, CO checks, Hero bets $1.15, SB calls $1.15, CO folds
Turn ($4.00) 2 K 5 9
SB checks, Hero bets $2.50, SB calls $2.50
River ($9.00) 2 K 5 9 8
SB checks, Hero checks

CO is straight tag, x/f as a pfr 3/3
SB is 27/17 afq 26, wtsd 23 after 310hands

What do you think about betting OTR?
1. Everything is busted.
2. Villain is capped, he seems to be a weak player, so I can overbluff in that spot.
3. I have nuts in my range.

12 Comments

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Dddogkillah 9 years ago

Blasting river would be sick imo after betting turn, turn can always be check back to realize equity cheap.
Could over betting turn be a option?
One bad things about jamming river is we block perceived folding range JJ/QQ

Kalupso 9 years ago

Yes, I overbet turn all day here! It is not a high frequency play, but you should check your weaker kings and go large with value to maximize EV here.

Dddogkillah 9 years ago

yah you are right about JJ/QQ
I think we could get Kx to fold with overbet/ ship river only way on blank blank imo.. This small turn bet and a small river bet wont cut cake!!!

David Jimenez 9 years ago

pre could be a 3bet too I think, I don't see any reason for betting this flop against two, as played I don't see him folding semi-blank turn after he called otf with one left to act, river just give up please
I would give it up otf

fritzlm 9 years ago

I guess OTR you have something like 8 busted FD and 8 busted GS. Let's assume those are your unique bluffing combos. You are value betting KJ or better which makes something like 25 value combos. Seems like a good spot to bet pot for me. That being said i don't why vilain should be capped here and a SB calling range pf should countain plenty of broadways. The good news is that you don't block his FD and you block his good top pairs.

In a word, I would pot river.

Kalupso 9 years ago

Why do you bet so small OTT? 62.5% pot when you rep KQ+?

nano 9 years ago

Hey man, sorry for a noob question. :) I know the idea that we should be betting big when we are polarized (rep pretty thin value range when we bet), but why do we have to make our sizings big in these spots?

For example in this spot OTT, if we actually have KQ, we almost always have the best hand while villain is capped to weak Kx or underpairs, don't we want to exploititavely bet smaller to make him call those hands? By betting big I believe we give him more reasons to get away.

Thanks a lot!

Kalupso 9 years ago

Villain is capped, he seems to be a weak player, so I can overbluff in that spot.

No, it means you can bet large for value and a little thinner (you probably bet too thin already)! He might station you even if he is capped, but he should not raise often.

Disharmonist 9 years ago

Thiner valuebets= you can add more bluffs into your range. QJ blocks KQ and KJ which would be legitimate 3streets bets against a capped range, cons are that you also block JJ and QQ which can x/call twice and fold river and its tough not to overbluff when you choose to triple frequently.

Siudson6 9 years ago

I would bet turn around 3 and I Would also bet river. U dont block fds so you can get him off some a-high draws that beats you . Plus ur hand blocks his best kings so bluffing riv seams reasoble ,especially with this hand.He shold also raise sets on flop or turn but I wouldnt say that his range is capped. Some people will get there with nuts , but still I like bluffing.

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