QJo turn into bluff OTR?
Posted by Tomasz K
Posted by
Tomasz K
posted in
Low Stakes
QJo turn into bluff OTR?
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players)
MP: $25.00
CO: $41.36
BN: $27.28 (Hero)
SB: $24.75
BB: $25.00
UTG: $21.18
CO: $41.36
BN: $27.28 (Hero)
SB: $24.75
BB: $25.00
UTG: $21.18
Preflop
($0.35)
Hero is BN with
Q
J
, , , , , ,
Flop
($5.50)
4
J
2
,
Turn
($5.50)
4
J
2
5
,
River
($13.74)
4
J
2
5
A
,
36/20 fold to 3b 92 400h
bet vs miss cb 52%/wtsd 17
I have a question about river. Do you think such a villain is going to valuebet his TP always?
Loading 9 Comments...
we have nothing to value here and nothing to bluff, i guess you lost this hand, the hand goes on as the plan, no?
yep true. But I was thinking about bluffing this river, because:
1. I have many Ax in my range.
2. Villain imo should valuebet his own Ax
Im not sure about 2nd point (that's why I posted this hand), but if Im right we have a very sexy bluff OTR :)
I think he would lead the turn with any FDs (Ax,Kx,Qx), some small pocket pairs above the 5, J8-AJ. When bluffing, which hands do you think he is calling with that are worse than yours or what hands and folding that are better than yours? Think the only hand he is really X/calling with is Ax of clubs and potentially KJ,AJ. So only hands that beat you essentially. So I really do not see the point of bluffing OTR.
Mate, the villain folds 92%. Why are you giving him hands like Kx, Qx, J8 or 66?
@x55: fair point. completely missed that stat, thx. Given that stat, I would also include TT, QQ,KK in his range (would be interesting to know his 4bet stat then I guess to know if he would 4bet at all or just call the 8% of monsters he holds). A hand like KK would make a lot of sense imo, seeing that he checks to the aggressor otf, stabs with what is likely the best hand ott and checks the otr because he is scared of the A.
Thx for letting me rethink the hand, funny how one stat can change an entire read.
I think it's a little bit optimistic 3betting QJo
As played I would take my sd value and check, SB seems fishy, no full stack, coldcall 3bet oop, I don't think he is folding an A here
mate I didnt post anything about CO, so dont say its a little bit optimistic :) this guy folds ~85% vs 3bets.
why would you even slow play here?
dont see any value in betting
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