QJo miss play PF?

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

QJo miss play PF?

Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players) UTG: $20.64
MP: $17.54
CO: $10.05
BN: $10.00 (Hero)
SB: $10.20
BB: $10.00
Villain PF is 23/19 (43% PFR from UTG) over 45 hands no stats on fold to 3b
SB and BB are a tight reg and a nit
Preflop ($0.15) Hero is BN with J Q
UTG raises to $0.30, 2 folds, Hero raises to $0.90, 2 folds, UTG calls $0.60
I`m trying to improve my 3betting %, I think I`m also not 3b-ting enough vs UTG opens.

Because villain is opening so much from UTG I decided to go ahead and try to put a bluff in to take down the hand PF.
Flop ($1.95) 6 8 Q
UTG checks, Hero bets $0.93, UTG calls $0.93
I don't really know anything about his 3b calling range OOP, but given the positions I`m going to assume is fairly strong 99+,AQ+. ( I wasn't 3 betting like a maniac either)

I`m betting for value, I would expect him to call with 99-JJ sometimes and hands like AK...
Turn ($3.81) 6 8 Q 5
UTG checks, Hero checks
Turns is a pretty much a brick, I don't think he will ever have 97 or 47

I decide to pot control and check back because I can't really go for 3 streets of value anyway... and by checking I give him the opportunity to bluff at it on the river.
River ($3.81) 6 8 Q 5 8
UTG bets $2.80, Hero folds
Turn plan was to check back and call all non-A, non-K rivers... but after he lead 2/3 I just though that he will have too often hands like slowplayed KK,AA and AQ, I don't think even KQ would lead.

Are these players capabile of turning 99-JJ into a bluff on river? I don't know.
Final Pot UTG wins $3.64
Rake is $0.17

Is there a mistake in my though process with this hand?

Do you think 10NL players will turn 99-JJ into a bluff on river?

Do you agree folding river or would you snap-call it?

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