Q high vs 1/3 river

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

Q high vs 1/3 river

Blinds: $3.00/$6.00 (2 Players) SB: $722.75
BB: $603.00 (Hero)
Preflop ($9.00) Hero is BB with Q 2
Hero raises to $15.00, SB calls $9.00
hey guys i'm not new just want to stay anonymous because i play Hu a lot you know
not much info, i know he is a regular, but he doesnt play hu often
Flop ($30.00) 9 5 T
SB checks, Hero bets $45.00, SB calls $45.00
ok so yeah overbet flop beacause thats a nice board to ovb JJ+ AT KT and a lot of bluffs with fd, bdfd, oesd, Qx Jx with hearts sometimes
so overbluffing a little bit i guess, but everyone fold so often so
Turn ($120.00) 9 5 T K
SB checks, Hero checks
good card for me, but i expect regs to call really strong the flop overbet so i slowdown a little bit mostly betting KQ KJ KK AA and someflushs and bluffs with spades
River ($120.00) 9 5 T K 5
SB bets $37.00, Hero calls $37.00
ok here the hand become really interesting
so first, gto will not bet a lot on this river, and i expect regs to mostly check all their range here to let me bluff a lot
i dont expect people calling K5 a lot on the flop, or value betting KJ so i expect him to bet some 5x that he call flop so not a lot, some missfd 87 J8 and valuebetting hands like QJ 95 T5 KT?!
i dont see a lot of Ax betting so Q high seems a good bluffcatcher because i block QJ you know even if i would prefer call 9x
i block the Q of heart which is not a big deal because i dont expect him to bluff every Qhigh miss fd, still way beter than having the 2 of hearts obviously

so what do you think ?

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