Q-hi flush river decision
Posted by Lumpizaver
Posted by
Lumpizaver
posted in
Mid Stakes
Q-hi flush river decision
HJ: Marvelous19: $208.55
CO: Rutina: $412.76
BN: longple: $400
SB: GosuDiac: $408.83
BB: tuff_shark: $462.96
CO: Rutina: $412.76
BN: longple: $400
SB: GosuDiac: $408.83
BB: tuff_shark: $462.96
SB is a 26/21/3.2 winning reg. I regard him as one of the better 2/4 regs on PokerStars. On that note I saw him pull a somewhat crazy bluff once in a while. But most of the time he is a mass tabling solid reg.
Preflop
($6.00)
(5 Players)
Rutina was dealt
Q
T
Marvelous19 folds, Rutina raises to $12, longple folds, GosuDiac calls $10, tuff_shark calls $8
Marvelous19 folds, Rutina raises to $12, longple folds, GosuDiac calls $10, tuff_shark calls $8
Flop
($36.00)
2
A
9
(3 Players)
GosuDiac checks,
tuff_shark checks,
Rutina bets $24,
GosuDiac calls $24,
tuff_shark folds
Turn
($84.00)
2
A
9
7
(2 Players)
GosuDiac checks,
Rutina bets $66,
GosuDiac calls $66
River
($216.00)
2
A
9
7
2
(2 Players)
GosuDiac checks
Do we value bet and how much? What do we do if he jams?
I will post my reasoning and results later on since I feel that they might bias your thinking :).
And I would also like to say hello to everyone, since I am new on this site.
Loading 3 Comments...
If we assume he 3B AK and he not have AJ o in CC range. I do not think he calls you with a pair ex AQ + You block Q of spade. He has all nuts hands in his SB CC range 77-99 KJss. You should check back.
overall i think if we wanna valuebet river should depend on how wide we wanna bluff such spots.
as for the hand - if it was BTN vs BB i would def. valuebet the river since he can have lots of worse 1spade combos like any Ax with a spade etc. we can get value frmo. still would be folding to a shove since it`s the bottom of our valuebetting range cause we`re uncapped here. we also have all boats in our range which protect us from beeing bluffshoved on too easily. i wouldn`t worry about bet/folding the Qhigh flush here.
him beeing in SB with a reg behind i think is a different scenario. he will have way more Kx Xx hands he gets to the river with like AxKs (maybe even KKs?) here which he wanted to induce a squeeze from BB or so. in the given scenario i`d just check back river since i think it`s very close if we are ahead against his calling range - i think we are def. not ahead against his river continuing range (meaning his x/c + x/r range).
(p.s maybe next time add his call open SB%, 3bet SB vs CO% and BB´s tendencies to get some more detailed analysis) cheers
Up until the river the hand is pretty straightforward. On the river I decided to value bet, mainly because only 5 hands - 99 (3 combos), 22 (1 combo) and KsJs - beat me. And I felt like majority of these hands would raise me somewhere in the hand. I ruled out AxKs and AA because the way 2/4 currently plays on Stars almost no-one is slow-playing them (there is a ton of 3B, 4B, light defending when blinds attack late opens). All that said I went out and value bet, mainly to get a crying call from AxJs or a lower flush. What happened was that he jammed I tought for a while and called, because of previously stated reasons. He showed 99.
After reviewing the hand I agree with you on that I should check-back river, because he really doesn't call me down with anything worst. He probably folds even AxJs.
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