Poor Flop Bet? Leads to tough river spot.
Posted by BuddhaKillah
Posted by BuddhaKillah posted in Low Stakes
Poor Flop Bet? Leads to tough river spot.
MP: $21.00 (Hero)
CO: $5.00
BN: $9.42
SB: $3.40
BB: $6.89
So spot starts out with villain opening UTG and me 3 betting him rather large - I literally have no reason to 3 bet this large but was rather just being lazy and hitting the pot button. When he opens and calls a 3-bet I assume he has like ATs+, AQo+, KJs+, 22+, maybe some like T9s type hands, QJs or roughly thereabouts.
On the flop, I think the board is actually quite bad for my range which is predominantly overcards and some higher pairs which can be put in a tricky spot on turns and rivers. I elect to bet out around 55% of the pot and I really do not know what will call me that I really beat here - maybe AK and AQ will call but very unlikely especially OOP, the hands that call me will usually have massive equity against me or be completely crushing me. Of course, I do have a 7 or Q for a straight which I assume will be good a lot, I also block some of his QJ combos which make the nut straight less likely. Hands that call me which beat me on the flop are sets, overpairs, and rarely flushes, however, I think a set would rather raise as there are lots of bad turns and rivers. Overall, I really should be checking the flop here as I have better hands to bet.
On the turn, I realise my hand is not strong enough to bet in conjunction with other hands that I could possibly have. I elect to check and most likely check-call most blank rivers for a reasonable price. I actually think I should be betting very few hands here as I very rarely have 88, 99 or TT as the lowest pocket pair I am 3 betting UTG with is JJ.
On the river when he bets all-in - I need to call with 55% of my range to make sure he is cannot bluff me with any two cards - however, this card is very poor for myself and great for his range. He could not have AK and just be going for very thin value or even have QJ or any set. Although I should theoretically call 55% of the time I think I will need to call substantially lower than that as this board is very bad for most of my range. In retrospect I do not actually mind JJ as a call as it blocks the QJ which would have the nut straight, however on boards like this I don't think villain bluffs anywhere near enough so I should probably just fold everything and I could call with hands such as KK, AA, and QJ combos, with a possible few JJ's thrown in.
Overall I do not like my flop bet but I do not mind the river call. What do you think, I really wanna hear some feedback and would be thankful for any insight, I really wanna tear this spot apart.
Thanks in advance - and also I am kind of new to the game so some of my concepts may be a bit whack.
Buddha.
Loading 7 Comments...
Be the first to add a comment
You must upgrade your account to leave a comment.
This thread has been locked. No further comments can be added.