PIO Output on Montone Boards BTNvCO 3BP
Posted by AJL97
Posted by AJL97 posted in Low Stakes
PIO Output on Montone Boards BTNvCO 3BP
I was wondering if anyone can give me understanding why PIO plays so drastically different on two monotone boards. On A96m it checks range and on J73m it bets range, although the equities/nuts in ranges would suggest the other way. I think it is similar BTNvBB SRP, that A high monotone are bet less also. I've looked at how ranges condense on turns/rivers and they both seem to have the same proportion of flushes/sets/top pair calling turns/rivers.
I can't seem to get more than one image posted so I'll sum up what's in them and leave gyazo links too.
BTN 3Bs CO with a mix between linear/polar range.
Nut Range = Two Pair+
J73m
IP: 12.8% nuts (8.5 flushes)
OOP: 14.8% nuts (7 flushes)
IP at 52.5% equity advantage.
A96m
IP: 11.3% nuts (3 flushes)
OOP: 14.5% nuts (6 flushes)
IP at 55% equity advantage.
At first I thought it was the shift in flushes in both players ranges, however I gave IP on A96m a total of 9 flushes (making IP at 57.5% equity advantage and they are only betting 35% of the time). My only guess right now is that on J73m you can value bet AAsx-QQsx over three streets because they block the flushes that would call and also unblock JX, whereas on A96 we cannot value bet AK for three streets because it blocks worse calling hands i.e. AQ, and unblocks the top of their range i.e. flushes. Would be great just to start a discussion and hear some people's thoughts on the above.
edit: Might also be our bluffs have more equity on J73m and have more potential to turn into a nutted hand.
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