Overpair in Sqz Pot

Posted by colombian20

Posted by colombian20 posted in Low Stakes

Posted 10 years, 3 months ago

Overpair in Sqz Pot

Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players) BN: $30.67
SB: $28.04 (Hero)
BB: $25.00
UTG: $25.84
MP: $30.96
CO: $14.40

Preflop ($0.35) Hero is SB with Q Q

2 folds, CO raises to $0.85, BN calls $0.85, Hero raises to $3.00, BB folds, CO calls $2.15, BN calls $2.15

Flop ($9.25) J 5 8

Hero bets $4.41, CO raises to $11.40 and is all in, BN calls $11.40, Hero raises to $25.04 and is all in, BN calls $13.64

I think is a standard C-bet, i have value, but when BU just calls its very suspicious to me, i have a fold here?

Turn ($70.73) J 5 8 9

River ($70.73) J 5 8 9 8

4 Comments

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aehardin 10 years, 3 months ago

Do you have HUD stats or notes on any of the players? Your flop play is really dependent upon your opponents' tendencies. If we know they are spazzy and will stack off lightly with TPTK/TPGK we aren't too concerned. MP's play thus far is really fishy calling the 3-bet pre-flop and cold calling the all-in OTF; he could very well be coming along with a small/medium pocket pair that hit a set.

If your opponent's aren't likely to stack off lightly, I doubt you are ever ahead. JJ, 55, and 88 are easily in their pre-flop 3-bet calling range. I think the only thing you beat here is AJ or KJ. I can't see either of your opponent's stacking off with anything other than AJ, KJ (if they are really bad), JJ, 88 or 55 OTF.