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Overpair got raised OTF 3way

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Overpair got raised OTF 3way

Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (8 Players) SB: $16.13
BB: $27.42
UTG: $25.00
UTG+1: $25.00 (Hero)
MP: $22.57
MP+1: $28.21
CO: $25.00
BN: $30.90
MP+1 19/11 1.2k
3b 4.1
FCB 53
Flop Ag 30
SB 70/10 (10)
Preflop ($0.35) Hero is UTG+1 with K K
UTG folds, Hero raises to $0.75, MP folds, MP+1 calls $0.75, 2 folds, SB calls $0.65, BB folds
Flop ($2.50) T 5 J
SB checks, Hero bets $1.58, MP+1 raises to $4.80, SB folds, Hero
Usually would check at high frequency, but given the fish on small blind, I wanna maximize value and go b/b/b vs him and b/x/b against the reg.
After I got raised, it doesnt seem to be a merge raise (sizing), therefore I expect to be facing a bet OTT pretty often as well. So calling with intention folding to a turn bet, doesnt make that much sense to me. His possible bluffs are KQs, AdQd,98s (if called pre). We do block decent part of them.
Given his 3b stat I think we can exclude QQ for the most part. Maybe thin raise from AJ? On the other hand, maybe JJ are also in his 3betting range..

I decided mainly based on population tendencies: They arent raising flop cbets enough in general (incl. merge raising and bluff-raising). but also the fact that it was MW, my range looks really strong and maybe the reg knows that the SB is a fish which also makes my range even stronger. So I folded.

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