Overfolding AA?
Posted by Sjankerd
Posted by Sjankerd posted in Low Stakes
Overfolding AA?
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players)
CO: $40.04
BN: $23.80
SB: $29.15
BB: $25.00
UTG: $26.78 (Hero)
MP: $24.90
BN: $23.80
SB: $29.15
BB: $25.00
UTG: $26.78 (Hero)
MP: $24.90
Villian is an somewhat aggresive reg 26/21/11 postflop aggresion factor 45% (300hands)
Preflop
($0.35)
Hero is UTG with
A
A
, , ,
Flop
($2.35)
9
4
3
, , ,
What do u think of flopstrategy: bet with high frequency and dont bet to big because they can have sets and flushes? Or would u like to go bigger?
Turn
($5.71)
9
4
3
2
, , , ,
This is intresting because he doesnt have a lot of bluffs, because i have the Ac in my hand.
My pot odds are 31%, 8 outs (16%) are drawing me to the nuts, 3 outs Ah/As/2C (6%) are improving me but not to the nuts. Lets say i have 20% to improve and beat him. He still needs to have 11% bluffs or combos in his range that i can beat. Does this mean i have to find 5 combos? I forgot how to calculate how many bluff combos he need here. Can someone explain me? I really cant find bluff combos, so i think I already have to fold here. Or he has to do this with JJ then i can call, but dont see that happening.
My pot odds are 31%, 8 outs (16%) are drawing me to the nuts, 3 outs Ah/As/2C (6%) are improving me but not to the nuts. Lets say i have 20% to improve and beat him. He still needs to have 11% bluffs or combos in his range that i can beat. Does this mean i have to find 5 combos? I forgot how to calculate how many bluff combos he need here. Can someone explain me? I really cant find bluff combos, so i think I already have to fold here. Or he has to do this with JJ then i can call, but dont see that happening.
River
($19.91)
9
4
3
2
4
, ,
He is saying i have a flush, and wants value from my overpairs. I think its impossible he will bluff with this sizings. If so I will tell him please go to nl500.
Final Pot
MP wins $19.01
Rake is $0.90
Rake is $0.90
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