over pair in wet board CU vs BU

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over pair in wet board CU vs BU

Blinds: $0.02/$0.05 (6 Players) BN: $5.00
SB: $5.14
BB: $5.95
UTG: $16.63
MP: $8.41
CO: $8.21 (Hero)
Preflop ($0.07) Hero is CO with K K
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.12, BN calls $0.12, SB folds, BB calls $0.07
Flop ($0.38) 7 2 J
BB checks, Hero bets $0.20, BN calls $0.20, BB folds
Turn ($0.78) 7 2 J T
Hero checks, BN bets $0.55, Hero calls $0.55
River ($1.88) 7 2 J T 8
Hero checks, BN bets $0.40

villain is 24/20 over 504 hands / 3bet 4% pf / 2.9 agg
BB is unknowed

i decided to check turn caues i feel like Th is not the best card for my range and its clearly a really good card for villains range
he bets .55$ in .78$ which is a big bet and not sure what much to think about that bet. i decided to call cause i felt like he can still have a lots of drawing hands in his range

on river when he bets so small i was wondering if it would ne a good spot for a big raise. He bets river 59% of the time(17/29) so this sample prooves me that he bets a lot and can clearly not only have nutted hand when he bet smal on river.
but, is it a good board to do this. I feel like if he dosent have a 9 in his hand hes probably always folding to a raise....
what do you guys think?

4 Comments

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Eriol 6 years, 11 months ago

I think I would have bet a little bigger the flop.

Ott I'd probably fire a second barrel, but pot controlling is something I'm very bad at, so your line could be better.

OTR have you thought about a blocking bet?
If you bet smaller as he did maybe you could prevent bigger bets from some 2 pairs hands.
The 1p hands he would fold to a bet are probably the same he'll check behind so you shouldn't loose too much value, and I don't see many missed draws he could turn into a bluff.

As played I like the river call, he'll have 2p+ a lot, but not enough to make it a fold imo.

klamsauce 6 years, 11 months ago

I think I like this combo for betting the turn without a heart. As played, river is just a call I think. He could be blocking worse and our hand is too weak to be value raising/too strong to be trying to bluff him off 2p

screamdustry 6 years, 11 months ago

I dont think that regular profile is betting worse for value enough times to make this call. Just think how protected Hero's range is, betting AJ has to be waaay too optimistic, even for a size.

So i would just fold, in this preflop formation also difficult to imagine him finding a lot of bluffs, and then he use size to basically bait us for calling.

on river when he bets so small i was wondering if it would ne a good
spot for a big raise.

I dont know definite answer for a question, but in general i would be disinterested in testing this in enviroments where: people are not vbetting thinly enough and then are not disciplined enough against agression.

With a problems with vbetting that population has, I can definetely imagine some guys not even betting worse than 9x in this spot, how would that end up.

I guess what i want to say, is that i dont know and i would not want to test it before really having idea that my opponent is competent enough to pull the trigger.

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