over bet river Nl25z

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

over bet river Nl25z

Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players) BN: $25.00
SB: $28.57
BB: $14.76
UTG: $58.59
MP: $28.28 (Hero)
CO: $25.60
Preflop ($0.35) Hero is MP with J J
UTG folds, Hero raises to $0.73, CO calls $0.73, BN calls $0.73, SB folds, BB calls $0.48
Flop ($3.02) 4 4 7
BB checks, Hero bets $1.70, CO calls $1.70, BN folds, BB folds
Turn ($6.42) 4 4 7 4
Hero bets $4.05, CO calls $4.05
River ($14.52) 4 4 7 4 K
Hero checks, CO bets $19.12 and is all in, Hero
He may have 4x or 77 and waht's hes bluff? pairs? Maybe block bet was better idk

6 Comments

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Jeff_ 6 years, 4 months ago

Yep I would agree on folding vs unknown and betting river myself (likely need to size down close to blockbet).
Also I'm thinking to size up turn, 4 is just great turn card, we want to go big with our bluffs and value (99+?) to shove some rivers ^_^

WM2K 6 years, 4 months ago

Ya I was thinking size turn so you can shove river. Might be a bit ambitious to rip all in anyways but it is 25nl and who folds boats right? Vs select players I would def shove.

As played ya he s likely thinking "who folds a boat right?" :D

Robert137 6 years, 4 months ago

With some serious consideration I would fold this but his value range so narrow: A4s, 45s (maybe). KQdd, KJdd, 77 and so many busted FDs and Straight draws.

The only serious reason for folding IMO is because I think villains won't bluff enough in this spot.

Wallmonger 6 years, 4 months ago

Can you post some relevant stats?
I'm leaning toward a fold but have some stats life VPIP, PFR and some aggression frequency would help to profile the player. If the player is really active, I may find the call button.

JackPozzi 6 years, 4 months ago

I'd only call if I know villian is a fishy spazzy player that continues on the turn with all his draws. I'd fold otherwise, the big size is generally underbluffed by a large margin, and I don't think this is a board texture that gets bluffed very frequently.

But if he's a fish I'd block river expecting to get called by 7x, any PP and A-highs, and fold to a raise.

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