Optimistic river bluff?

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Optimistic river bluff?

BB: $110.36
CO: $103.50
BN: $107.01 (Hero)
SB: $152.95
Preflop ($1.50) (4 Players)
Hero was dealt K J
CO folds, Hero raises to $2, SB folds, BB calls $1
Flop ($4.50) K 9 Q (2 Players)
BB checks, Hero bets $3, BB calls $3
Turn ($10.50) K (2 Players)
BB checks, Hero bets $7.50, BB raises to $23, Hero calls $15.50
River ($56.50) 6 (2 Players)
BB bets $41, Hero raises to $79.01
Final Pot
Hero wins $134.50
Villain looks a tight reg, 18/15 over 150 hands or so, no real history. I think this works in my favor as he has no reason to think i will bluff here.

Im assuming he wont be c.r FH on this board as im barrel a decent amount. I also think the only boat he can have is 99 and he may 3b that some % of the time (although i doubt it as he seem on the tighter side). KQ is blocked. I can have all the combos of FH KK/QQ/KQ/99/K9

He needs 18% to call river say i only bluff 4 combos on AKs he has 9% v KK-QQ,99,AKs,KQs,K9s,KQo,K9o

I prefer this if we were slightly deeper.

Thoughts?

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