Optimal strategy vs a theoretical opponent BvB
Posted by phil long
Posted by
phil long
posted in
Mid Stakes
Optimal strategy vs a theoretical opponent BvB
Assume our opponent opens x% of SBs but folds 100% to a 3bet (if he folds 100% the % he opens doesn't matter right?)
If he folds 100% of his opens and is never limping then obviously a winning strategy is to 3bet 100%. However, is this optimal? It makes sense that we should flat AA/KK hands because we would win at a higher rate than his raise/fold, but what % of hands do we think we make more by flatting than 3 betting? It's hard to get an exact % because both our skill level and his post flop skill level come into effect but roughly do we think flatting top 5% is good, top 20% or what kind of ball park figure?
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Thinking a bit more it does matter what % he opens doesnt it, because a hand like KQ has a lot more value vs a 70% range than a 10% range for example.
It's completely dependant on villain's post flop tendencies. For example, if he open ships all boards where he completely misses, you are probably better calling with 100% frequency.
That's an extreme example but my point holds.
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