ok to reraise all in?
Posted by josephtamraz
Posted by
josephtamraz
posted in
Low Stakes
ok to reraise all in?
SB: $10.19
BB: $11.83
UTG: $6.62
MP: $21.54 (Hero)
CO: $2.16
MP lost and shows a pair of Aces.
BB wins $25.15
Rake is $1.18
PokerStars Zoom Hand #193628873323: Hold'em No Limit ($0.05/$0.10) - 2018/11/22 15:52:03 ET
Table 'Aludra' 6-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: magda1630 ($11.31 in chips)
Seat 2: ksa4593 ($10.19 in chips)
Seat 3: hovlaa ($11.83 in chips)
Seat 4: pokertiger09 ($6.62 in chips)
Seat 5: godly-enough ($21.54 in chips)
Seat 6: Rimas98 ($2.16 in chips)
ksa4593: posts small blind $0.05
hovlaa: posts big blind $0.10
* HOLE CARDS
Dealt to godly-enough [Ac Ah]
pokertiger09: raises $0.10 to $0.20
godly-enough: raises $0.70 to $0.90
Rimas98: folds
magda1630: calls $0.90
ksa4593: folds
hovlaa: calls $0.80
pokertiger09: folds
FLOP [6c Jc 7s]
hovlaa: checks
godly-enough: bets $1.52
magda1630: calls $1.52
hovlaa: raises $9.41 to $10.93 and is all-in
godly-enough: raises $9.71 to $20.64 and is all-in
magda1630: folds
Uncalled bet ($9.71) returned to godly-enough
TURN [6c Jc 7s] [5d]
RIVER [6c Jc 7s 5d] [3d]
SHOW DOWN
hovlaa: shows [Js Jd] (three of a kind, Jacks)
godly-enough: shows [Ac Ah] (a pair of Aces)
hovlaa collected $25.15 from pot
SUMMARY *
Total pot $26.33 | Rake $1.18
Board [6c Jc 7s 5d 3d]
Seat 1: magda1630 (button) folded on the Flop
Seat 2: ksa4593 (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 3: hovlaa (big blind) showed [Js Jd] and won ($25.15) with three of a kind, Jacks
Seat 4: pokertiger09 folded before Flop
Seat 5: godly-enough showed [Ac Ah] and lost with a pair of Aces
Seat 6: Rimas98 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Loading 10 Comments...
Your play looks fine. A lot comes down to player types here because this pre-flop action is certainly unconventional. I am calling AA here all day - esp at 10nl.
most of the time these plays shows sets. he can have 66 77 jj that beat me against them i have 10 percent 9 combos and against flush draws 65 ish percent maybe more problem is we have a c which reduce a lot of his ax combos leaves some suited connectors that may call a 3 bet. 6 combos of suited connectors.
and some over pairs like kk qq that might find a call pre 12 combos that we crush with 90 percent equity .
need to have 51 percent equity and i dont think we getting those odds by calling 11 dollars to win 14.
please i d really like a comment on my analysis to see if what im thinking is correct
There are tons of draws OTF. You are likely thinking too hard about it. This type of board you should stack-off here every time. If the board was less connected then I could see spending some time constructing ranges but this is one which is apparent that people are bound to spazz often enough to justify a call without thinking too hard.
Checking this flop always.
As played, turn is a fold after bet/call/ship. This is never an overpair, top/top or flush draw.
most of the time these plays shows sets. he can have 66 77 jj that beat me against them i have 10 percent 9 combos and against flush draws 65 ish percent maybe more problem is we have a c which reduce a lot of his ax combos leaves some suited connectors that may call a 3 bet. 6 combos of suited connectors.
and some over pairs like kk qq that might find a call pre 12 combos that we crush with 90 percent equity .
need to have 51 percent equity and i dont think we getting those odds by calling 11 dollars to win 14.
please i d really like a comment on my analysis to see if what im thinking is correct
After BB shoves the pot is 16.92$ and you have to call 9.41$. Your needed equity is
AMOUNT TO CALL/FINAL POT=NEEDED EQUITY
therefore
9.41/(9.41+16.92)=35.74%
So, your needed equity is 35.74% and not 51%. Actually, your needed equity can never exceed 50%.
Now, to the hand...
Equity Win Tie
MP2 73.51% 73.51% 0.00% JJ, 77-66, KcQc, QcTc, Tc9c, 9c8c, 5c4c
MP3 26.49% 26.49% 0.00% AA
You can see that even if we're very generous with flush draws, your equity doesn't even come to 30%. Therefore it's a bet/fold for me.
You can call if you have some info that opponents are bad and can overplay something like AJ, but most of the time you will only face value hands that beat you. Lot's of players won't even have all those flush draws in the range due to 3b pot and many will play draws passively on the flop which is all but the more reason to bet/fold.
thank you for the help )
The problem is that your range is very biased towards making it a fold. Add some AJ, a little KJ, QQ, and some straight draws - which is more realistic. Not to mention all the other types of hands people can spazz with at these limits.
I haven't played NL10 in quite some time and this could very well be a call, it's also why I wrote below the hero can call if he thinks people will overplay hands like AJ or even spazz randomly, it depends on population of the site and limit.
In hands like that all the info you might have picked up on opponents comes very useful.
However, from my experience people will tend to play passively with draws and rarely overplay TP here.
On the side note, I would call if we didn't block Ac and opponents could have NFDs in their ranges. People play those aggressively more often and I would expect them to be higher part of the villain's range in 3bp than random straigt or flush draws.
I'm calling, I dont think we can get away with folding with out any reads
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