Nut flush when board double pairs on river
Posted by Spades
Posted by
Spades
posted in
Low Stakes
Nut flush when board double pairs on river
Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players)
BN: $12.66
SB: $13.56
BB: $4.12
UTG: $10.51 (Hero)
MP: $10.00
CO: $9.74
SB: $13.56
BB: $4.12
UTG: $10.51 (Hero)
MP: $10.00
CO: $9.74
Only 28 hands on opponent so no reads.
Preflop
($0.15)
Hero is UTG with
Q
A
, , , ,
Flop
($0.80)
K
3
T
, , , ,
Turn
($2.00)
K
3
T
K
, ,
River
($5.60)
K
3
T
K
T
, ,
Loading 5 Comments...
Fold. He has a K basically always. Only possible bluffs would be QJ but its very unlikely that someone at this stake would 3/4 pot the flop multiway with OESD, and nearly impossible that they nearly pot it on the turn when flush gets there AND board pairs.
Interested though why you don't cbet flop. As played, I would also strongly consider check raising turn. My 2 cents, interested to see what others have to say.
I think both options are fine on this flop. Maybe lean more towards betting a large percentage of the time because of our range advantage.
I think x/r is the play on the turn. I just didn't want to give him a chance to throwaway trip kings and there's only 7 cards in the deck that are a disaster. I think most people are calling trip kings here though. You think x/shove turn or small raise?
I would shove. Not only are there 7 cards that pair the board or give him quads, but another diamond on the river very likely kills our action unless he's boated up. Most of the time he doesn't want to see the river any more than we do. And most people aren't folding trips on the turn.
Very clear fold on the river. BTN is making a really big (but pretty common) mistake of using a massive size in a spot where both players have a lot of nuts in their ranges. If we play accordingly, villain guarantees that he never gets value with his Kx by using a size like that.
Also, I'd consider raising the flop or the turn. We don't really want villain have the control of the pot when we have a hand like this.
Bet flop, shove turn, fold river as played.
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