Nut flush OTR after I take a weird line/ misclick OOP.
Posted by WM2K
Posted by
WM2K
posted in
Mid Stakes
Nut flush OTR after I take a weird line/ misclick OOP.
SB: $183 (91.5 bb)
BB: $195.25 (97.6 bb)
Hero (UTG): $277.70 (138.9 bb)
MP: $508.50 (254.3 bb)
CO: $214.25 (107.1 bb)
BTN: $200 (100 bb)
Preflop: Hero is UTG with Kh Kd
Hero raises to $6, 2 folds, BTN calls $6, 2 folds
Flop: ($15) 8h 5s 4h (2 players)
Hero bets $18, BTN calls $18
Turn: ($51) Ah (2 players)
Hero bets $28, BTN calls $28
River: ($107) Qh (2 players)
Hero ??
So obv a pretty nice spot. Meant to bet large but not over pot OTF. Villains a tight passive reg who doesnt seem to quite understand the power of position. Running 18/15 so far and raises about 26% from all positions.
So turn was a value bet but made it pretty small as I think I m likely pretty value heavy here so its a pretty bad card for a lot of his range. OTR I think is interesting. What bet will get the most value here? I expect him to have a flush quite often just because I think most hands that peel that turn have a heart back up. What I m curious about though is whether or not you think I have any FE. Again I m probably going to be pretty value heavy but if I can polarize and get non nut flushes to fold I can likely start jamming idk an ace or underpair that somehow doesnt have a flush as a bluff. I have a hard time saying exactly what my range is here though given the strange nature of previous streets.
So do I have any chance of him folding enough when I don t have it? If yes I should probably make a range play and jam here. If he never folds a flush maybe I should make the exploitative play and jam anyways :D.
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