Hey guys

No stats on villain
https://www.weaktight.com/h/5e12042bd390434b528b46ce

Preflop: Think we got an easy ISO vs the Limp, BB calls along with first limper

Flop: Checks to us and we have a strong hand that wants to get value & build the pot v weaker TP, MP and draws. Game Theory wise I know that we cannot go too huge here and Im not sure whether I want to size up even more as an exploit. We get a call from BB.
I put his range mostly on stuff like KJ+, JTs+, AJ, J9s, Q9s and FDs.

Turn: Think this is a good card, majority of his holdings pick up a pair along with their straight draw. Plus if he has something like QT. we dominate that heavily. For those reasons I size it up and get shoved on for like 2x pot.

Ingame I was like "Well no way I can fold such a strong hand, we got top two and he can do that with QT as well". In hindsight, I dont think there are too many combinations of weaker holdings that go for such a line.

https://gyazo.com/7f1b0787dbb91c51566ba9e35f3f23c0

We are at most chopping with some KQ and there isnt even too many QT in his range (and I was being generous, giving him flats with QTo and , which I dont think he would do too often pre) and we still are around 32% equity, which is below the needed 36% after his shove. So Id rather fold this combination and call of with my sets (and the straights I decide to bet OTF, which will be probably mostly Jc9c or AcJc)

What do you think?