NL50z - Passive line with TPTK oop in 3bet pot

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NL50z - Passive line with TPTK oop in 3bet pot

Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players) BN: $78.75
SB: $64.94 (Hero)
BB: $50.94
UTG: $50.89
MP: $60.48
CO: $95.51
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is SB with A J
3 folds, BN raises to $1.25, Hero raises to $4.50, BB folds, BN calls $3.25
Flop ($9.50) 9 J T
Hero checks, BN bets $6.23, Hero calls $6.23
Turn ($21.96) 9 J T 2
Hero checks, BN bets $16.27, Hero calls $16.27
River ($54.50) 9 J T 2 5
Hero checks, BN bets $51.75 and is all in, Hero calls $37.94 and is all in

I will bet flop here line 80% of the time but experimenting with randomizers (which im not used to) and rolled low enough for a passive line here so C/C flop. Once i take that line i follow and on river with only 75% of pot left, as every bluff bricks, i call off as he potentially could value bet KJ and im underrepresented. Good or bad?

If he only valuebets better than TP then he has 42 combos JJ-99, KQs, JTs, 87s, KQo and neeed 21 bluff combos for balance, right? actually slightly less because of stack size, so maybe 18.

If we add AQ and A8s-A7s as bluffs he has 60 total combos and is totally balanced and i have 33% equity versus the 29% needed to call. Am i thinking about this the right way?

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