nl50z call river?
Posted by specialmarco
Posted by
specialmarco
posted in
Low Stakes
nl50z call river?
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players)
BN: $52.57
SB: $121.14
BB: $164.31
UTG: $103.96 (Hero)
MP: $94.11
CO: $44.62
SB: $121.14
BB: $164.31
UTG: $103.96 (Hero)
MP: $94.11
CO: $44.62
Preflop
($0.75)
Hero is UTG with
A
J
, , ,
Flop
($4.75)
3
A
Q
, , ,
Turn
($9.75)
3
A
Q
8
,
River
($9.75)
3
A
Q
8
2
,
Final Pot
BB
lost and shows high card Ace.
UTG wins and shows a pair of Aces.
UTG wins $22.26
Rake is $1.29
UTG wins and shows a pair of Aces.
UTG wins $22.26
Rake is $1.29
mp is fish, bb is reg
i don't know what is the best play, but i think his bet river is too big
Loading 5 Comments...
Why not bet turn? Since he overcalled his range should be a fair bit wider, including quite a few weak Axs. You can then x/b river.
bet turn x/b river imo
As played, operating under the assumption that BB flats all Axs and 3-bets AK, CREV tells me this is a +EV call assuming he bets AJ+ for value and bluffs all his GS+BDFD hands OTR, so KJs(2 combos), JT(2) and KT(3).
I think combos of AQ can also be pretty heavily discounted because he would squeeze to iso the fish a fair bit, right?
I have him betting something like this: 3h3c,3h3d,3c3d,Ah2h,As2s,Ah8h,Ah3h,AhJh,AhJc,AhJd,AsJh,AsJc,AsJd,JcTc,JdTd,KcTc,KdTd,KsTs,KdJd,KcJc.
Versus this range we have 50% equity so more than enough to call. If we give him all AQ combos we have 38%, so even then calling is +EV.
I like betting the turn as well. BB overcall is gonna be wide enough to justify vbetting here.
As played, easiest call in the world. There are some missed draws and he might even be vbetting worse.
+1 to bet turn, xb river. As played you have to call. He could easily be valuebetting worse.
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