NL50 Zoom FR Line Check/Fire River?

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NL50 Zoom FR Line Check/Fire River?

BN: $62.35
SB: $84.84
BB: $54.45
UTG: $54.85 (Hero)
UTG1: $32.20
UTG2: $24.25
LJ: $45.48
HJ: $42.06
CO: $50
Preflop ($0.75) (9 Players)
Hero was dealt A K
Hero raises to $1.50, UTG1 folds, UTG2 folds, LJ folds, HJ folds, CO folds, BN folds, SB folds, BB calls $1
Villain is 14/7 after 42 Hands so would think he has a lot of pairs in his flatting range in this spot.
Flop ($3.25) 6 4 9 (2 Players)
BB checks, Hero bets $1.75, BB calls $1.75
Given the Villains range I think I can cbet with 2 overs and back door flush draw.
Turn ($6.75) 6 4 9 4 (2 Players)
BB bets $4.75, Hero raises to $15, BB calls $10.25
Once he called I think his range may look something like 99/66/44 for monsters and then TT-QQ with maybe the odd 77/88 thrown in. His lead on the turn throws me and Im not sure if he leads with his monsters so I think his range is weighted more towards hands like TT-QQ.
River ($36.75) 6 4 9 4 Q (2 Players)
BB checks
Should I fire on the river or just give up? If my range assignment is somewhere near then he is likely to fold TT-JJ, and call with the rest. Is this a decent spot to bluff or should I have folded to the lead on the turn?

2 Comments

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John Morrey 12 years, 1 month ago
I don't like the turn raise. I doubt you have a very wide value range here, you have no 4's in your range at all usually and few boats. On the river I'm l;eaning towards folding just cause his bet call on the turn is usually strong and I don't think he can fold TT or JJ.

You also have zero Q in your range unless exactly like Qxcc so you have low FE.
MartL1 12 years, 1 month ago
I do think I get folds from TT/JJ on the river but I agree I rep a really narrow range on the turn. The only Qx I could have is QQ.

I think its a touch FPS against a Villain who may just be looking at his own hands.

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