NL50 ZOOM - Best play on river?

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NL50 ZOOM - Best play on river?

BN: $174.85
SB: $43.25
BB: $51.88
UTG: $87.03 (Hero)
HJ: $20.88
CO: $77.89
From HUD villain seems an active but fishy type player, 30/20/18.5%3b but only 1.5AF over 150 hands. No specific reads.
Preflop ($0.75) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt K A
Hero raises to $1.50, HJ folds, CO raises to $4.50, BN folds, SB folds, BB folds, Hero calls $3
I think calling is the only play here being this deep and UTG vs CO.
Flop ($9.75) J Q 4 (2 Players)
Hero checks, CO bets $5.50, Hero calls $5.50
My only option I think, I have a lot of good turn cards with Ad and don't want blown of this hand getting 3b if I x/r.
Turn ($20.75) J Q 4 3 (2 Players)
Hero checks, CO checks
Unsure what I would do on this turn facing a bet.. Feels like his betting range would mostly be flushes or bluffs since he should check back 2pair or less type hands that cant get 3streets (might bet sets idk).. so we are either good with Ahigh or getting jammed on by flushes sometimes as I feel he is not the type of guy to call turn raise then hero fold a small flush vs river jam

River ($20.75) J Q 4 3 A (2 Players)
Hero checks, CO bets $12.50
I think this is the most interesting street. What is the best play here, I feel like folding is out of the question given his stats but should we call and hope we are good enough of the time or CRAI holding the Ad after him also checking the turn?

Since we are deep I think we get more credit and vs a reg/someone with lower 3b % I feel like CRAI is the best play. But vs this guys stats we have to risk quite a lot not knowing what his calling range might be.

Stacks on river:
villain $68total. $55.5 after bet.
I cover.

9 Comments

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papaFR59 11 years, 4 months ago

Why do you want to CRAI the river? You will only get called by better and you might have the best hand.

Depending on his river AF and tendency to bluff river this is call or a fold. This looks a lot like AQ AJ no diamonds, sometimes you will split. I think it would be really weird to bluff with that sizing so I am more incline to put him on a value hand. I'd fold as played.


TJ Serdar 11 years, 4 months ago
I think we get enough better to fold to the x/r this deep to make jamming>calling.  I think x/jam >x/f> x/ca in that order.  Additionally, we want to balance our river x/r range the times we're taking this line for value(which I assume we're always x/r'ing flushes on this river).  This is one of the best combos we'll get to do that with.


BigFiszh 11 years, 4 months ago

Hard to tell with the few stats, probably b/f, given his low AF ...

Hova 11 years, 4 months ago

Bigfiszh I wasn't turning my hand to a bluff only because the Ad. I would play also play all flushes I can have like this and he capped his range on the turn. I actually x/c'd river because his range was still so wide considering his 3b % he seemed so fishy I thought he could just see the A as a scare card and bet anything. He ended up having 75o which may mean x/c > x/f and b/f?

akakaka 11 years, 4 months ago

i think BF = xR shove  > xF  ,don't know whether u can bluff him outofthepot or not,

whether i would xC or not depends on betsize,  the river bet size here does not seem like a thinvalue bet.

ofcourse u should balance your river xR shove range and this one is perfect for achieving that , but do u really need to balance this kind of situation? i think "co vs utg 3bet pot" situation is not so common so imo i prefer  exploitable style here

Hova 11 years, 4 months ago

Im surprised you guys think bet/folding is good. Im pretty much at the bottom of my range here so he shouldn't be calling much worse


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