NL50 RUSH, Villains calling/folding range?
Posted by Learn2FoldEm
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Learn2FoldEm
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Low Stakes
NL50 RUSH, Villains calling/folding range?
HJ: $138.80
CO: $71.80
BN: $84.60
SB: $102.10 (Hero)
BB: $68.60
UTG: $50.50
CO: $71.80
BN: $84.60
SB: $102.10 (Hero)
BB: $68.60
UTG: $50.50
Preflop
($0.75)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt,
UTG folds,
HJ raises to $1.50,
CO folds,
BN calls $1.50,
Hero calls $1.25,
BB raises to $7,
HJ calls $6,
BN calls $6,
Hero calls $6
Flop
($30.00)
3
J
Q
(4 Players)
Hero checks,
BB checks,
HJ checks,
BN checks
Turn
($30.00)
7
(4 Players)
Hero checks,
BB bets $12,
HJ folds,
BN folds,
Hero raises to $94.60
PREFLOP: With a raiser + 2 callers, BB squeezes to $7. At this stage I think his range could be reasonably wide, say TT+/AK/AQ/KQs. Having said that, it is NL50 so it could be as tight as AA/KK/AK. I think it is rare the BB bluff-squeezes at these stakes particularly OOP, but I suppose you could include a small % of bluffs but I think most suited connectors/Axs could easily just complete here with great odds.
FLOP: The Flop is interesting because I was fully expecting a cbet from the BB and when he doesn't and it checks round, I either think he has a missed/vulnerable hand or he has missed his c/r.
TURN: When BB bets relatively small on this turn ($12 into $30) and HJ, BN folds, the action is now on me. BB has about $49 behind.
In my position, what range would you shove for value and as a bluff? Also, what range would you flat and what would you fold? Is there any merit to a small raise, say to $26.50?
Also, what do you think villain's potential holdings are? Is there a lot of Fold Equity if I was to shove here? Had it played out like this on the flop I think I have a lot less FE but given the flop check around, I am now unsure.
I will post results and my own hand if it helps.
Loading 3 Comments...
I think most of his holdings are KQ, AK and rarely QT, AJ, AQ. When the flop checks around I think you can eliminate a lot of premium holdings in his range like AA, KK, QQ, JJ, combo draws, some F draws and some combos of AQ so you can realize your equity on the turn much better. Your FE here is very player dependent, because there are some players who are going to read your hand as bluff most of the times thinking that you are doing this with a draw. Some players are going to fold here almost everything. It is also very important how other players see you, if you are seen as a laggy player I think you are gonna get called a lot more than if you have tighter stats..
He is sure not calling w 100% I doubt anyone here calls with TT(it is also very unlikely holding because most just call preflop), but you are going to find here people calling w AJ and I think that is really hard to get a read on RUSH from someone that is so bluff heavy that you call off here w TT.. I think that sets and 2 pair lead turn here most of the time. I would also lean towards double barelling in this spot on any spade or blank turn.
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