NL50 RUSH, Flopped Trips facing river raise

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NL50 RUSH, Flopped Trips facing river raise

HJ: $52.65
CO: $111.95
BN: $57.05
SB: $86.40
BB: $118.35
UTG: $74.75 (Hero)
Preflop ($0.75) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt K A
Hero raises to $1.50, HJ folds, CO calls $1.50, BN folds, SB folds, BB folds
Flop ($3.75) 8 K K (2 Players)
Hero checks, CO checks
Turn ($3.75) T (2 Players)
Hero bets $1.85, CO calls $1.85
River ($7.45) 3 (2 Players)
Hero bets $4.50, CO raises to $12.50
FLOP: Obviously, a lot of people will c/bet here but my thinking is that NL50 RUSH is such a passive game I wouldn't be at all surprised to see people just call 3 streets w/ KQ/KJ/K9 so I think the only way to get stacks in and max value against good made hands is to c/raise this flop. Also, I think a lot of villains will auto-stab their bluffs in this spot so I feel I'm getting value there as well.
TURN: I think this is a standard bet given hand/play.
RIVER: So I go for a standard river bet and get raised. Immediately he has a lot of bluffs in his range (missed clubs, JQ, J9) and my hand is under-repped so I am never folding here but my question is: is there a value raise/shove here? Are hands like KQ/KJ/K9 in his calling range here, or do you think he folds his bluffs calls his FH's? I don't think he raises AT/JJ-QQ on river for value, so don't think he has much of a 'bluff-catching' range here even if my hand can look like a bluff if I shove river.

Thoughts?

3 Comments

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james 12 years, 2 months ago
Definitely don't 3 bet the river. I'd expect to see 88/1010 quite a bit when he raises and not all that many bluff but you're way underepped here so I don't hate calling. One small thing though, villain isn't going to have K9, J9, or QJo in his CO flatting range vs UTG all that often. Remember to think about the preflop action too when you assign postflop ranges.
Learn2FoldEm 12 years, 2 months ago
I agree about not 3betting. I ended up calling and he showed Kh7h which made me think about missing value. I think you are right though, it is call.
ahfats 12 years, 2 months ago
calling river but I think the most important thing to point out is that your reasoning for the flop check is bad. you need to consider how your actions play out against his range of hands, so merely assigning a few combos against which a flop cr may be better than the standard bet/bet/bet line isn't a good justification for the play.

this is not to say checking is bad. if you don't intent to cbet this board 100% and want to check strong hands a small % of the time for balance, if you think an he'll barrel way too much when you check, if you think he folds way too much to a cbet, etc are all perfectly reasonable reasons to check here - but again the key point is that your considering how your actions work against his entire range as opposed to just cherry picking certain hands he can have and taking the best line against them.

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