NL50 river bluff
Posted by pinky1991
Posted by
pinky1991
posted in
Low Stakes
NL50 river bluff
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players)
UTG: $102.51
MP: $69.15
CO: $59.68
BN: $50.00
SB: $68.21 (Hero)
BB: $50.00
MP: $69.15
CO: $59.68
BN: $50.00
SB: $68.21 (Hero)
BB: $50.00
188 hands on villain 23/14 cbet stats 86/67/100 CO Vpip 24 pfr 21
Preflop
($0.75)
Hero is SB with
6
6
, , , ,
Flop
($3.50)
8
3
2
,
Given the high cbet I think we can rule out FD type hands on the flop.
Turn
($3.50)
8
3
2
T
, ,
Call here expecting to be good a lot versus BW + 1 club type hands
River
($8.50)
8
3
2
T
Q
, , ,
I feel like his range is capped with the flop check back. All FDs, sets and overpairs should be cbetting this flop for protection/value. As such on the river he can have at best QT, possibly J9 but I think his value range is heavily weighted towards marginal value hands AT, QJ, KQ, Q9, AQ.
This is a pretty good card for him to barrel with a lot of his A, K high type hands too so he should turn up with a large amount of air. AJ, KJ, AK etc.
For us I think we are the reverse in that we can have all the flopped sets, flushes, as well as J9o.
I think in terms of hands to bluff with this is as good as any as we don't block any of his bluffs or marginal value hands.
Thoughts?
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