NL50 QQ in 3b pot

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

NL50 QQ in 3b pot

BB: $54.84
HJ: $45.72
CO: $50 (Hero)
BN: $182.74
SB: $58.40
villain 22/14/3 over 1k hands, only 3b 3pct of hands, so it's safe to say his flop range is something like {JJ+,AKs,AKo} or {QQ+,AQs+,AKo}.
Preflop ($0.75) (5 Players)
Hero was dealt Q Q
HJ folds, Hero raises to $1.50, BN folds, SB raises to $4.75, BB folds, Hero calls $3.50
Flop ($10.50) 3 4 5 (2 Players)
SB bets $7, Hero raises to $16.50, SB folds
Final Pot
Hero wins $32.64

i mean, if villains range is {QQ+,AQs+,AKo}, thats 31 combos, and 16 of them are AK, and AK has 40pct equity against me, and so if i make a small raise, and villain folds his AK combos, he's making a pretty big mistake, right? and if he shoves, of course i'm snap-calling, cus against his entire range, ive got about 40pct equity myself.

.. on the other hand, if i just call, i have to dodge 10 cards [3 kings, 3 aces, and 4 twos] twice, but i give villain the opportunity to barrel off with half his range.

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