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Nl50 HU River Bluff

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Nl50 HU River Bluff

Hey, i was playing against this reg, he was quite competent for nl50, he CR more turns than flops. So i was thinking is this is a profitable spot to bluff? I think he is folding two pair and sets on the river. What would you do?
P.s. can't get the right format for this hand history


€0.25/€0.50  No Limit Holdem 
2 Players 
 
Stacks: 
high821 (SB)  €77.67 155bb 
BB  €77.34 155bb 
 
Pre-Flop: (€0.75, 2 players) high821 is SB 5c Qc 
high821 raises to €1, BB calls €0.50 
 
Flop: 5d 4c 3d (€1.75, 2 players) 
BB checks, high821 bets €1.40, BB calls €1.40 
 
Turn: Kc (€4.55, 2 players) 
BB checks, high821 bets €3.36, BB raises to €10.41, high821 calls €7.05 
 
River: 6h (€25.37, 2 players) 
BB bets €17.93, hero??



2 Comments

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Chael Sonnen 11 years, 2 months ago

How widely does he defend pre? This is important, because you need to know how many K5/K4/K3o combos he defends.

Not a believer of his turn line. He likely c/r A2/76/sets and he doesn't have 62, so he's essentially repping that he now has two pair, on the king turn.

On the river he can still value bet two pair, so I would not make the assumption he has a straight or air. You have zero deuces in your range, and the only 7x are 76 which may 3-bet turn, 77 and 7x w/FD.

Given that his value range is still pretty wide, you can fold this, and call with better bluff catchers.

mplecki23 11 years, 2 months ago

calling is probably a better option than bluffing, but folding is likely the best with this hand. You'll have a handful of 7x n 2x straights to not fold on the river.  Q5s seems to far down in your range to be making a call unless you really think he's going bananas on turns+rivers

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