NL50 fold rivered full house 200bb deep?

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NL50 fold rivered full house 200bb deep?

Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players) BN: $63.04
SB: $52.22
BB: $115.01 (Hero)
UTG: $52.60
MP: $99.54
CO: $50.00
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is BB with 9 8
UTG folds, MP raises to $1.50, 3 folds, Hero calls $1.00
Flop ($3.25) 8 4 9
Hero checks, MP bets $1.58, Hero calls $1.58
Turn ($6.41) 8 4 9 Q
Hero checks, MP bets $4.14, Hero calls $4.14
River ($14.69) 8 4 9 Q 9
Hero checks, MP bets $2.50, Hero raises to $21.46, MP raises to $92.32 and is all in, Hero calls $70.86
Final Pot BB lost and shows a full house, Nines full of Eights.
MP wins and shows a full house, Queens full of Nines.
MP wins $197.33
Rake is $2.00

I lose to QQ(3), beat 44(3), 88(1), flushes and bluffs.

Question is if this is something other than QQ often enough?

3 Comments

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RaoulFlush 4 years, 2 months ago

Ufffff
I guess we have to pay this off. As you already pointed out, too many combos that we have beat here that could still go for value this way. Might also wake up with 89dd for a split.

Resolve 4 years, 2 months ago

Forgot about the possibility of a split with 98dd. It basically comes down to if he does this with 44 and worse or not. If he doesn't even do this with 88 then calling is losing a lot.

Equity Win Tie
MP3 20.59% 17.65% 2.94% QQ, 99-88, 44, 98s, AhKh, AhQh, AhJh, AhTh, Ah9h, Ah8h, Ah7h, Ah6h, Ah5h, Ah4h, Ah3h, Ah2h
BB 79.41% 76.47% 2.94% 9c8c

Equity Win Tie
MP3 43.75% 37.50% 6.25% QQ, 99-88, 44, 98s
BB 56.25% 50.00% 6.25% 9c8c

Equity Win Tie
MP3 70.00% 60.00% 10.00% QQ, 99-88, 98s
BB 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% 9c8c

Equity Win Tie
MP3 87.50% 75.00% 12.50% QQ, 99, 98s
BB 12.50% 0.00% 12.50% 9c8c

MatoStar 4 years, 2 months ago

First and foremost, dont post the results.. we are all humans:))

I think we cant fold this.. he might have 98s, 88,44 or even a nutflush if he is a weaker guy. You also dont need to win all the time..

Btw if he is an unknown, theres some chance that he is a volatile player profile and can have even wider value range which is even more incentive for us to call

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