NL50 can I fold set otr???
Posted by Limp Limpson
Posted by Limp Limpson posted in Low Stakes
NL50 can I fold set otr???
SB: $66.84
BB: $106.38
UTG: $54.16
MP: $59.53
CO: $53.41 (Hero)
bb is 31/15 over 100 hands
I tanked for a long time.
I need ~25%, so I need to be good once in 4 times.
16 combos of QJ, 9 combos of KK, TT, AA, KJss, KQss, K8ss vs 9 combos of AK=> 28:9..9/37=0.243..I'm good ~24.3%, making this breakeven call.
He is fairly clearly valuebetting.
Now, two assumptions clash:
1) I think that our ranges are so strong that he isnt likely to bet AK anymore
2) His sizing, especially ott, is not really consistent with QJ and I dont expect him to be balanced, thus I should remove some QJ from his range, making this a call otr
Which one is it?
Also, do you guys consider raising flop? I cant find any reason to do so, but I might be missing something? We obviously wanna raise all QJ, but Im not sure its worth it to balance by widening valueraising range and occasional bluffraise otf with like AQss or AhQx should be enough, no?
thanks
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