NL50 barrel off?

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NL50 barrel off?

Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players) BN: $91.89 (Hero)
SB: $50.00
BB: $119.30
UTG: $105.30
MP: $65.08
CO: $50.00
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is BN with K 7
3 folds, Hero raises to $1.12, SB folds, BB raises to $4.50, Hero calls $3.38
Flop ($9.25) 5 6 9
BB checks, Hero bets $5.50, BB calls $5.50
Turn ($20.25) 5 6 9 2
BB checks, Hero bets $15.01, BB calls $15.01
River ($50.27) 5 6 9 2 4
BB checks, Hero bets $32.50

Villain unknown reg.
OTF - Reg usually gonna check here more often compare to rec players. So he can check here also his overpairs.
OTT - heart is better card for me since villain doesn't XC flop w backdoor FD, unless he has a pair + BDFD.
OTR - I think i have to bet this river, i do not block any hearts (not nice), but have more flushes thain villain + blocking straight.
But if he has an overpair, i do not expect him to ever fold here. Do i have enough fold equity OTR?

3 Comments

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Kuduku 8 years, 7 months ago

Barreling off and firing almost any river that doesn't improve us seems to be a decent option.
Personally, I like the flop stab but after he check-calls the flop I wouldn't fire on the turn (I'd 2nd barrel with Kc7c and Kh7h fwiw.) Only a very small part of his flop x/c range will fold this turn. So unless I am feeling good about going all barrel happy against him I'd play this more passively.

I think you have enough fold equity otr if he 3bets reasonably wide (AXs, SCs) preflop. Otherwise his range is going to be saturated with bluff-catchers and will not contain many missed draws. On the flipside if he has a wider preflop range his range that gets to the river will inevitably contain more flushes/straights on this river.

luba 8 years, 7 months ago

Yeah, i should have decent fold equity with the flop stab.
Turn check seems like the best option here, you are right he doesn't fold a ton here.
Thx for reply.

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