NL50 AJs river overbet?
Posted by z1pz0r
Posted by z1pz0r posted in Low Stakes
NL50 AJs river overbet?
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players)
MP: gmiko: $71.97
CO: Trumper69: $40.49
BN: babystuy: $83.20
SB: Grant[NY]: $52.42
BB: zipper2468: $82.37 (Hero)
UTG: Ryttz: $71.17
CO: Trumper69: $40.49
BN: babystuy: $83.20
SB: Grant[NY]: $52.42
BB: zipper2468: $82.37 (Hero)
UTG: Ryttz: $71.17
Preflop
($0.75)
zipper2468 is BB with
J
A
, , , , ,
Flop
($4.75)
3
T
7
, ,
Turn
($4.75)
3
T
7
K
, ,
River
($10.75)
3
T
7
K
8
,
Open-raiser and BU seem like fairly standard regs, no reads on BU so far. 350 hands, only maaybe reliable stat is WTSD 25%.
SB and me are also fairly standard regs, we're not nitty but not so squeeze happy to make flatting KK+ on BU here a good idea.
I think his range for calling the turn is most likely something like 50% AK, KQ, KJs and TT. My value range can have any 33, 77, KTs, K7s, K8s, T8s, T7s, 78s, 9Js.
I also have a various OESDs, gutshots and sth like 76s, A7s that miss on river, not many though.
I think this is a very good spot for an overbet but I have no idea how large it should be. Since I don't have many missed draws probably not too big?
Thoughts?
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