NL50: A5s in BB, pair+nutfd
Posted by Bronson
Posted by
Bronson
posted in
Low Stakes
NL50: A5s in BB, pair+nutfd
UTG: $50.75
HJ: $37.63
CO: $50
BN: $101.01
SB: $31.33
BB: $50 (Hero)
HJ: $37.63
CO: $50
BN: $101.01
SB: $31.33
BB: $50 (Hero)
Preflop
($0.75)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
A
5
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO raises to $1.50, BN calls $1.50, SB calls $1.25, Hero calls $1
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO raises to $1.50, BN calls $1.50, SB calls $1.25, Hero calls $1
Flop
($6.00)
5
2
J
(4 Players)
SB checks,
Hero checks,
CO checks,
BN bets $4,
SB folds,
Hero raises to $13.50,
CO folds,
BN calls $9.50
Turn
($33.00)
3
(2 Players)
efective stack size on turn is $35
villains is good reg 26/20, cc otb 12%, bet vs missedCB overall 70% and just flop 72%
don't have any notes on him so i don't know how he plays turns here, i could potentially ck/c flop and ck/shove turn , his turn agg freq is 49% and aggf 3.0
thoughts on the turn decision (seems pretty easy shove or bet/fold to me)? what about the flop ck/r ?
thanks
Loading 7 Comments...
His range seems strong :AJ,JJ+,22,55, he bet into 3ppl and call raise ,maybe some draw like KcQc,Tc9c,9c8c,6c7c,4c3c
don´t think you have big fold equity and only fold equity you have again draw witch you don´t wanna he fold it (stack of on river if hit,or beat with your pair)
if i was IP i think i check behind ,but OOP is harder,let see what somebody else say
Yeah, if he were just stabbing, he would fold to the x/r OTF, especially since you raised with two people left to act. But now the SPR is 1 and your draw missed. There's nothing he called a x/r with OTF that he's folding getting 2:1 OTT. (Your last line you meant 'pretty easy shove or CHECK/fold' - right?) Because, yes, I think those are your only two options.
Then again, what just calls pre that hit something and doesn't jam over your x/r OTF? JJ+ doesn't make a LOT of sense, unless JJ flatted pre and thinks just calling gets another bet out of you OTR. AJ, maybe. Or some lower, drawy-trappy type hand like 34cc. Or maybe he was flatting AA or KK pre hoping someone would squeeze? But again, he might jam those over OTF. Dunno. Tough one. Probably close.
X/c on the flop leaves you with a bit more room to maneuver. (I actually just posted a very similar hand where I x/c'ed OTF.) It would help to have better reads, but when isn't that the case?
I`d sqz pre, as played x/c turn.
I guess im just jamming turn as played... I think we have more FE than you guys think. Still see regs playin theire mediocre JX with BDFD or FD with BDSD like this (and fold without picking up equity OTT) and the 3 hits our bluffing range quite a bit...
But agree that the flop XR isnt that great. What you trying to accomplish? You isolate yourself vs a strong range while folding out all the dominated draws that might pay you out decently if the club comes. And this is a really ugly spot now....
I don't mind your line at all with so much dead money OTF.
You block a 5 which means he very rarely has a set. The vast majority of his range is JX, 66-99 and draws.
Raising OTF puts a lot of pressure on his one-pair hands, which you are slightly favorite against. You don't mind him folding out his equity share and you don't mind getting it in. In addition to that he may peel once with some FDs.
Easy jam OTT with a PSB left and 17 outs to improve.
Just now i see in the original post i said "easy shove over bet/fold", i obv meant bet/call :)). Maybe to some regs the shove makes less folding equity than a bet because it looks like we want to make him fold.
I took this line because of his high bet ip and i thought it is +EV because i get him to fold middle pocket pairs at some point and maybe some Jx. He had AJ and i obv sucked out.
Thanks for the replies.
villains call seems pretty bad with Jx tbh so I like shoving turn. If we are x/ring flop with combo draws and sets we have him in really bad shape, especially on the 3s turn. Im guessing he assumed you would never play a set like this.
If we know he is never folding Jx and think he will jam draws when checked to on the turn then x/c'n all in is probably best. This way we get value from 67cc - KQcc hands that fold to a shove, and don't have fold equity vs much as I think it is unlikely he stabs 66 - TT here too often, and even if he does play them like this he checks back turn and river.
If we choose to check turn and he checks back though, we probably need to x/c river on any card that's not a T/Q/K.
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