NL50 6max Rush AK vs Flop C/R

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

NL50 6max Rush AK vs Flop C/R

HJ: $70.10
CO: $67.90
BN: $50
SB: $50
BB: $74.40
UTG: $98.80 (Hero)
Preflop ($0.75) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt K A
Hero raises to $1.10, HJ folds, CO folds, BN folds, SB folds, BB calls $0.60
Flop ($2.45) T K 4 (2 Players)
BB checks, Hero bets $2, BB raises to $6.50, Hero calls $4.50
Turn ($15.45) 8 T K 4 (2 Players)
BB bets $12, Hero calls $12
River ($39.45) 8 T K 4 K (2 Players)
BB bets $54.80, and is all in, Hero folds
Final Pot
BB wins $37.50
Im going back over this hand because Im interested in what you think of my thought process.

I had villain running 18/13 at the time over 70 hands. I dont think he should setmine OOP with 44, but my open raise size probably allows him to peel with that here. I hold the Ah, so I block a lot of his raggy Axhh FDs, so I dont see much of an equity edge in raise/calling flop. His FDs are more likely to be hands like JQhh, Q9hh or J9hh imo and then all 6 combos of TT and maybe 3 or 4 combos of 44. Plus, a heart on the turn isnt exactly a terrible thing for us.

If he bets a normal size on the turn I probably jam over to get him to call it off with his FDs but his bet sizing worries me and I considered folding the turn.

OTR, My hand looks like Kx a lot and I figured hes jamming in order to get me to call it off. It seems a stretch to say that hes bluff jamming here given that river card in the hopes I can find a fold with Kx (or indeed, that the K OTR makes it unlikely I have Kx myself so is trying to bluff me off maybe a perceived QQ or AA).

Does your thought process differ now that I have him as 23/19 over 250 hands?

3 Comments

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WM2K 12 years, 1 month ago
Given positions and your read at the time I d say flop and turn are both pretty close to a fold. Kx boards are your boards as the UTG raiser so villains are generally less inclined to mess around. He can def have 44 given you minraised preflop. I m pretty tight in bb spot and I think I d peel 44.

River is unfortunate but ya ground it. He s just not messing around here enough esp with the odds your getting.
friedpie 12 years, 1 month ago
I would fold turn.
It's hard for him to be bluffing here when you block nut flush draw and you also rep a strong range when you open UTG and call a flop check raise on Kxx.

He can definitely have 44/TT here and I doubt he would be bluff shoving something like JQss on the river and try to get you to fold Kx which is what the majority of your range looks like in this spot.
efas 12 years, 1 month ago
Not setmining for him /w any pair in this spot would be a leak. And thinking they don't do that is wrong.
Also when you say about combos like 6 of TT its only preflop. On the flop there are 3 combos of TT, 3c of 44 in his range.
The fact the you hold A of hearts makes him more likely to have a set here.
Folding turn here is the best i think.

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