NL50 6max Rush AK vs Flop C/R

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

NL50 6max Rush AK vs Flop C/R

HJ: $70.10
CO: $67.90
BN: $50
SB: $50
BB: $74.40
UTG: $98.80 (Hero)
Preflop ($0.75) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt K A
Hero raises to $1.10, HJ folds, CO folds, BN folds, SB folds, BB calls $0.60
Flop ($2.45) T K 4 (2 Players)
BB checks, Hero bets $2, BB raises to $6.50, Hero calls $4.50
Turn ($15.45) 8 T K 4 (2 Players)
BB bets $12, Hero calls $12
River ($39.45) 8 T K 4 K (2 Players)
BB bets $54.80, and is all in, Hero folds
Final Pot
BB wins $37.50
Im going back over this hand because Im interested in what you think of my thought process.

I had villain running 18/13 at the time over 70 hands. I dont think he should setmine OOP with 44, but my open raise size probably allows him to peel with that here. I hold the Ah, so I block a lot of his raggy Axhh FDs, so I dont see much of an equity edge in raise/calling flop. His FDs are more likely to be hands like JQhh, Q9hh or J9hh imo and then all 6 combos of TT and maybe 3 or 4 combos of 44. Plus, a heart on the turn isnt exactly a terrible thing for us.

If he bets a normal size on the turn I probably jam over to get him to call it off with his FDs but his bet sizing worries me and I considered folding the turn.

OTR, My hand looks like Kx a lot and I figured hes jamming in order to get me to call it off. It seems a stretch to say that hes bluff jamming here given that river card in the hopes I can find a fold with Kx (or indeed, that the K OTR makes it unlikely I have Kx myself so is trying to bluff me off maybe a perceived QQ or AA).

Does your thought process differ now that I have him as 23/19 over 250 hands?

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