NL50 3bp UTGvsSB 99 on 876s 280bb deep

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NL50 3bp UTGvsSB 99 on 876s 280bb deep

Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players) BN: $54.33
SB: $138.72
BB: $65.69
UTG: $130.69 (Hero)
MP: $48.63
CO: $56.68
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is UTG with 9 9
Hero raises to $1.25, 3 folds, SB raises to $5.41, BB folds, Hero calls $4.16
Flop ($11.32) 8 6 7
SB bets $3.98, Hero raises to $16.33, SB calls $12.35
Turn ($43.98) 8 6 7 Q
SB checks, Hero bets $31.49, SB raises to $116.98 and is all in, Hero folds
Final Pot SB wins $104.96
Rake is $2.00

Thought playing it aggro would be better since I have a lot more 2p+ and his range really doesnt want to face a lot of aggression on this board.

When he shoves turn it's just always QQ right?

5 Comments

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RaoulFlush 4 years, 2 months ago

Shouldnt be too whide of a range that 3bets SB vs UTG.
And even though its tempting: what was your plan if you get jammed OTF? Looks too thin to me to gii here this deep and folding sucks as well.
As played: villains B/C range on this kind of board is way too strong to consider betting the turn again imo. So this is a check to me as we hate life when happens what happened

Resolve 4 years, 2 months ago

I have 35% equity against overpairs on the flop so I saw it as an "almost free" semi-bluff basically that lets a lot of overcards fold that have like 25% equity against me. I'd be very surprised if I ever get 3bet on this board tbh but if he shoves I'd have to fold.

Equity Win Tie
MP2 38.86% 37.23% 1.63% 9d9h
SB 61.14% 59.50% 1.63% 99+, AcKc, AcQc, KcQc, AcJc, KcJc, QcJc, AcTc, KcTc, QcTc, Ac5c

I thought I could make him fold all TT+ except QQ by betting OTT, which is probably what he had here.

Imagine you are SB here and have AA, how happy are you with your hand OTF, and OTT?

RaoulFlush 4 years, 2 months ago

Hmmmm...get your idea...
So you expect random overcarda to cbet this board?
Looks even fancy if he holds a club. But might be the case. And ofc i hate life with AA here.
Thats why i wouldnt be cbetting here. But im not quite sure if it is in general a good idea to try to make random players fold their TT+ here, because recs hate folding Em and regs tend to bet more robust equity on these kind of boards...
But maybe im just biased and this is wp...not sure

Resolve 4 years, 2 months ago

Didn't consider that he could be check/folding those hands since he used 1/3pot sizing. If I use that betsize then it means I bet my whole range but maybe not everyone is.

RaoulFlush 4 years, 2 months ago

Indeed a weired sizing. Not a board i would expect rangebets in general.
So in theory we are supposed to raise this sizing liberally and your reasoning makes sense. So for a selective cbet it could also make sense to bet TT+ this way as it gets a thin valuebet.
Would be interested in some other opinions on this as well

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