[nl50] 3bet pot SB vs BU, tripple barrel, bluff OTR?
Posted by Alinyr
Posted by
Alinyr
posted in
Low Stakes
[nl50] 3bet pot SB vs BU, tripple barrel, bluff OTR?
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (4 Players)
BB: $80.48
CO: $66.77
BN: $56.28
SB: $50.00 (Hero)
CO: $66.77
BN: $56.28
SB: $50.00 (Hero)
Preflop
($0.75)
Hero is SB with
T
A
, , , ,
Flop
($10.90)
4
K
2
,
Turn
($17.74)
4
K
2
J
,
River
($42.88)
4
K
2
J
5
,
Villain appears to be an ok reg. 27/22/9.6 on a big sample. Would you follow through on this River or just give up and find other hands to bluff with?
Loading 7 Comments...
Not confident at all on this answer, but river being only like 2/3 makes me think clubs are the last thing you want to have there as his folding range will be heavy on those.
Think flop and turn are good!
(So I didn't run a sim for this but I got a few solved ones that are very similar and yeah, ATcc don't bluff river, flop and turn well played!)
thank you for your answer. after posting the hand I spent a little time thinking this spot through and I concluded that i don't want to bluff this combo as I heavily block his potential folding range. should've given up OTR. :D
I did run a sim for this and ATcc bluff jams river ~30% of the time. Probably varies some based on the ranges, I used solver ranges for both opponents, but looking at the range we get to river with, it would be hard to come up with enough bluffs if we don't sometimes bluff most of our Axcc
Don't like the 1/3 pot flop then 2/3 pot turn, absolutely nothing changed about either ranges on the turn so just 1/3 it again and setup a wider river range for everyone, then polarize an exploitative jam on the river, but in theory probably checking
Interesting point, thank you
What changed is that villain flatted us which begins capping his range. This is really simplistic thinking. We're still uncapped against a partially capped range so we have some hands that really want to get more money in the pot for value/protection.
Anyway, I simmed this hand and given the option of 33, 66, or 125% pot ATcc goes with the 2/3 bet 80% of the time and checks the rest. Lots of hands in our range like the 33% bet. Mostly thin value, sets, 2pr, and Kxcc. Our best Kx and AA strongly prefers the 66% sizing.
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