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NL50 180bbs deep with middle set on bad turn.

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NL50 180bbs deep with middle set on bad turn.

CO: Santana79: 120.40
BN: lettore: 66.59
SB: joganardolo: 14.32
BB: ys_pex: 89.83
UTG: Rogbey: 93.32
HJ: chief1989: 90.30
Villain is 30/20 over 224 hands. I don't have any real history with him. His WTSD is 20 and W$SD is 67.
Preflop (0.75) (6 Players)
Rogbey was dealt 9 9
Rogbey raises to 1.50, chief1989 folds, Santana79 folds, lettore folds, joganardolo calls 1.25, ys_pex calls 1
Flop (4.50) 4 9 Q (3 Players)
joganardolo checks, ys_pex checks, Rogbey bets 3.50, joganardolo folds, ys_pex raises to 8.50, Rogbey raises to 22, ys_pex calls 13.50
I kind of panicked here as I playing another hand on a different table. I know the sizing is terrible, in retrospect I should be raising to 31ish so I have a near pot size bet OTT.
Turn (52) 4 9 Q 6 (2 Players)
ys_pex checks
Should I be shoving here to get value from 44, AcQx or just checking back and call non club river,8 or K river?
Any other thoughts on the hands like sizing?

4 Comments

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theluckyj 10 years, 8 months ago

Your opponent could raise you at the flop with QQ 44, any two pair ,flush draw or nothing. However he called your rerasie not 4 bet. I put him a weak flush draw or two pair. He check on the turn suspiciously, I would suggest check after and see his move at the river. The least thing you want is to see a check/raise on the turn.

Whipman 10 years, 8 months ago

If he were a reg, I would c back turn always, as I don't expect him to ever flat a 3 bet with 2 pair+. THis guy here seems to be a recreational player or a clueless regular, so it's not impossible for him to still have a hand like top pair or Q4s. Given that this is a mw pot and him beign kinda fishy, he might not even ever raise an FD on the flop... I think I would get it in against this particular player.

holopainen 10 years, 8 months ago

I think 95% of his flatting range here is flush draws, maybe occasionally JT, but never a made hand like 44 or Q9s, because they would 4bet on the flop oop for sure. At this point I'd treat my hand as beat, and check back to fill up.

Rogbey 10 years, 8 months ago

Thanks for input guys. I think checking back is best as I can't see many hands left to get value from. If we check back and villain shoves blank river is that a fold?

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