NL5 Zoom squeeze gone bad

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NL5 Zoom squeeze gone bad

Blinds: $0.02/$0.05 (9 Players) BN: $5.80 (Hero)
SB: $4.44
BB: $4.63
UTG: $6.03
UTG+1: $5.06
MP: $8.91
MP+1: $5.07
MP+2: $4.28
CO: $8.17
Preflop ($0.07) Hero is BN with T K
UTG raises to $0.15, 4 folds, CO calls $0.15, Hero raises to $0.65, SB calls $0.63, BB folds, UTG calls $0.50, CO folds
Flop ($2.15) T 4 4
SB checks, UTG bets $1.03, Hero calls $1.03, SB folds
Turn ($4.21) T 4 4 2
UTG checks, Hero bets $1.38

UTG was a loose reg who folds a lot to 3bets (over a big sample). SB was big fish over 7 hand sample. CO was abc reg who has a normal coldcallrange.

So squeeze is already questionable. I knew fish might coldcall loose range but only 7 hands so the fish didn't influence my decision to squeeze here.

Let's look at the reg. I saw him openraise in UTG as loose as ATo and fold to 3bet is 85%, I see a lot of profit here, however I know that he is generally defending a bit more against me but only by calling and not by 4betting, also he knows that I don't squeeze here light usually so I think my squeeze will show a profit here.

Now lets take a look at the CO coldcallreg... that's like the biggest reason why the squeeze might be bad. I'm certainly not completely fcked when he calls my squeeze (assuming fish and UTG fold). He can still have JJ or AKo or TT once he calls me so I'm basically often dominated but I mean how often does that happen? People play so tight I can imagine he folds TT to the squeeze given that I never bluffsqueeze in this spot, I also have position.

So yeah it's not like this squeeze is printing money but I still prefer it over folding. Gets tricky when UTG folds and CO calls but I think his range is defined to something like AKo, AQs, TT-QQ maybe a bit tighter so I think I can realize my equity.

I think the SB is coldcalling a range as wide as 10-15% but my KTs plays okayish 3 way... of course I'm sometimes dominated which sucks but I have position and I know how to play my hand post. It's tricky for sure...

so OTF we face a 1/2 pot lead by the reg. Feels like he is trying to feel me out....I also knew he openraise ATo pre so maybe he thinks he is priced in also given that I tanked a bit before I was squeezing (he might exploit my timing tells). So ATo is definetely in his range but could also be some random AQ AK.

After that bet I wrote "wtf" in the chat because the reg is basically leading into an uncapped range. So I decided if I can raise flop, maybe turn the T into a bluff XD?... but imo I simply have too good of a hand so I decided to call play some turns. Think the reg can definitely have AQ AK maybe with flushdraw. By now he should know that I have at least a Tx maybe even TT so I think if he bets turn he has to have it... it's so hard to put me on a hand like KTs (since I usually don't squeeze wide).

On the turn he checks. I am now seriously unsure if I'm bluffing here or valuebetting. I think I'm kind of semibluffing because the reg can still call my bet with AQhh AKhh AJhh but he can also fold JJ to my bet.

Ingame I was like "ok I should protectionbet vs heartdraws random AJ AQ AK he might play this way), of course JJ is like a hand that is super likely too so I thought just maybeee I can bluff... but I wanted to bet/fold so that's why I went relatively small sizing.
I also wrote before the turn "ship it". Maybe that made him afraid XD?

So yeah imo I turned my hand into a bluff but I still have some outs vs JJ + I'm protecting vs heartdraws (but maybe he plays bet/raise OTF). So yeah Idk that's why I post this hand.

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