NL5 Zoom Bluffcatching Spot
Posted by Pokerlogical
Posted by Pokerlogical posted in Low Stakes
NL5 Zoom Bluffcatching Spot
SB: $5.09
BB: $8.42
UTG: $5.51
MP: $5.77
CO: $5.00 (Hero)
CO wins and shows two pair, Tens and Sevens.
CO wins $9.97
Rake is $0.43
I didn't know much about SB so I thought that his flopcheck was weak.
MP could think the same and bet out with a lot of bluffs. I certainly can't fold my hand on the flop.
On the Turn it gets very interesting. I block TT and 77 is also really unlikely now so he is only betting for value JJ maybe QQ (people don't 4bet QQ in this spot sometimes actually).
But I feel like I'm almost top of my range so I have to call Turn also.
River is interesting because it shifts his Valuerange from JJ-QQ to flushes. Also he instashoved River which polarizes his range a little. I think with JJ people may shove but they will tank at least for like 3-5 seconds because I might have quads here/full house.
Well if he knows me he should know that I always 3bet TT CO vs MP (is this a leak?)?
I think one detail that makes my hand more of a call is actually SB folding range. SB folding range has a ton of Ax, making it less likely that MP has an Ace. Also since I have the Ace of hearts it's more likely that SB folded the Ace of Spades, since there are now less AQ/AK combos with a heart in them.
Value he should have about 16 combos on river (A2ss,A4ss,A5ss,A6ss,A8ss,A9ss,AJss,AQss,KQss,KJss,K9ss,QJss,Q9ss,J9ss,77,TT). So the question is how many bluffs we need to find to make this a +EV call? Not many I feel like.
Was my play +EV?
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