NL5 - Weird spot vs Fish

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NL5 - Weird spot vs Fish

Blinds: $0.02/$0.05 (6 Players) CO: $4.78
BN: $5.75 (Hero)
SB: $5.43
BB: $6.14
UTG: $4.20
MP: $5.78
Preflop ($0.07) Hero is BN with Q A
2 folds, CO calls $0.05, Hero raises to $0.20, 2 folds, CO calls $0.15
Villain in 69 hands has vpip/pfr of 32/7 and has open limped 11 times from UTG-BTN positions unitl now.
Flop ($0.47) 9 7 8
CO checks, Hero checks
Turn ($0.47) 9 7 8 A
CO checks, Hero bets $0.36, CO raises to $0.72, Hero calls $0.36
Looks very weird to me for him to check a straight here and also 2pair and sets he made on flop. Surely he does this sometimes but I think it's very rarely. What do you think? If he does what I said rarely and we also give him a raising range of A9, A8, A7 then we have about 14% equity. The pot odds are about 19%. I think we should call here.
River ($1.91) 9 7 8 A Q
CO bets $3.86 and is all in, Hero calls $3.86
What do you do here? If my assumptions are correct then he is having one of the 2pairs I gave him earlier and so we need to call.
Final Pot CO wins and shows a straight, Eight to Queen.
BN lost and shows two pair, Aces and Queens.
CO wins $9.23
Rake is $0.40

3 Comments

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Fish-fil-A 4 years, 6 months ago

Calling the river is fine. It sucks but AQ is the best hand you could have in that spot after checking the flop. If you're not calling AQ, you're folding all of your hands.

Most players, especially in low stakes, are imbalance in their overbetting bluff-to-value ratio. With enough info, you could overfold or overcall against certain players including exploitatively folding everything in a capped range.

You don't have enough info and even if you did and he's never bluffing, maybe he's overbetting with A9 or A8? It could also be AQ. Obviously, overbetting isn't ideal for a hand like A9 but you never know what certain players are doing.

HawksWin 4 years, 6 months ago

Calling this off I guess. Assuming this guy doesn't have enough worse value in his range (mostly due to sample size) would probably be a mistake. He clearly will have dominated value in his range after he check/raises. This is, however, getting towards the bottom of my calling range here. I think we can let go of our worse two pairs here.

RaoulFlush 4 years, 6 months ago

Agree on this. Villains CO-flattingrange is pretty SC and PP heavy that might smash this board. Maybe we could take also some blockers into account and find a fold even with AxQc? If we block FDs its hard to find any bluffs and as already pointed out, most overbetting ranges are heavilly weighted towards value already.

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