[NL5] TP value shove river?
Posted by niggel
Posted by niggel posted in Low Stakes
[NL5] TP value shove river?
Blinds: $0.02/$0.05 (6 Players)
BN: $6.41
SB: $9.67 (Hero)
BB: $11.05
UTG: $6.51
MP: $5.97
CO: $7.23
SB: $9.67 (Hero)
BB: $11.05
UTG: $6.51
MP: $5.97
CO: $7.23
Preflop
($0.07)
Hero is SB with
Q
K
, , , ,
Flop
($1.15)
7
7
4
,
Feels like a board we still have the advantage as the PFR and I decided to go for a range c-bet on this flop.
Turn
($1.85)
7
7
4
3
,
Not a great card for us but neither for villain. We can still fold out many Ax hand which called the flop hence the bet. In hindsight I think we should a) bet bigger if we bet and b) pick a different hand like JTs as it blocks TT and JJ. Our king-high might be good here on occasion and we would love to see a free card. Is this reasoning sound?
River
($3.95)
7
7
4
3
K
His range should consist of straights (65s is possible), many flushes, some monsters like a full house which decided to play it passively and a chunk of second best pairs like 88-JJ. Somthing lke KhTh might also be in his range. I think he would raise 7x most of the time. Given the good amount of strong hands in his range and uncertainty about him calling us with 88-JJ I like the check-back on this river. What do you think? Thanks!
Villain has $4.46 left on the river.
Villain has $4.46 left on the river.
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