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NL5 QQ river decision

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NL5 QQ river decision

Hello,
What to do on the river in this spot. I would agree that this might be bluffed spot at some frequencies. I have a Qd but didn't really take that into consideration when making decision.
Opponent was marked by me as a good reg and he had a high 3bet.

I think that I played flop and turn well.

PokerStars - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players

BTN: 75.6 BB
Hero (SB): 100.5 BB
BB: 101.5 BB
UTG: 100.2 BB
MP: 100 BB
CO: 108.8 BB

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Qd Qs
fold, MP raises to 3 BB, fold, BTN calls 3 BB, Hero raises to 13 BB, fold, MP calls 10 BB, fold

Flop : (30 BB, 2 players) 4d 5h 8d
Hero bets 11.4 BB, MP calls 11.4 BB

Turn : (52.8 BB, 2 players) 7c
Hero checks, MP bets 21 BB, Hero calls 21 BB

River : (94.8 BB, 2 players) 9h
Hero checks, MP bets 54.6 BB and is all-in, hero ??

4 Comments

Loading 4 Comments...

RaoulFlush 2 years, 1 month ago

Hey hey…
I guess im sizing up preflop like 1-2BB.
This flop is really bad for your range. Wouldnt be suprised if solver bets here sometimes for your sizing, but im basically checking my whole range on this board.
If villain is a regular, i expect him not to call too many offsuit hands pre with another player to act.
Defending in MP also narrows his range down quite a bit.
So at all flop and turn is fine i guess. But imo your hand is somewhat face up.
So would a regular bluff a range full of overpairs for 1/2 OTR? I doubt it a bit tbh. Villain has sets/straights and flushes on a decent frequency in his range and so this looks like a fold to me even with the Qd…

HawksWin 2 years, 1 month ago

This flop just feels like a check. It is hard to imagine a "REG" playing MP like this. What does he call with when not closing action preflop? I would, however, bet a 754tt flop since he will never really have a straight on 754tt. They have connectors here (good or bad) which makes this board extremely bad.

RunItTw1ce 2 years, 1 month ago

Flop mostly XC as others have said. Mp likely has 44 55 88 76s etc in range where you have none of those. You check your range on these low connected texture because you have so many over cards. If you bet your over pairs you cap your checking range. Dont get too wrapped up with villain having JJ-99 some times. Thats only 18 combos

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