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NL5 AJs BB vs. HJ

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

NL5 AJs BB vs. HJ

Blinds: $0.02/$0.05 (6 Players) CO: $5.00
BN: $0.95
SB: $5.27
BB: $10.94 (Hero)
UTG: $9.02
MP: $6.25
Villain appears nitty, 15/11 over 53 hands
Preflop ($0.07) Hero is BB with A J
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.15, 3 folds, Hero calls $0.10
Not sure if I even want 3bet strategy vs. his tight range. Polar 3-bet strategy seems best if ever, and vs. his HJ open, I think AJs is not good enough to 3B value, but too good to 3B bluff. So flatting is good?
Flop ($0.32) 8 7 J
Hero checks, MP bets $0.21, Hero calls $0.21
Villain range could include: flushes, 7 combos of sets, overpairs, overcards with a diamond, maybe KJ or QJ with a diamond, not including straights (would bet bigger?)
Turn ($0.74) 8 7 J 3
Hero checks, MP bets $0.48, Hero calls $0.48
Would this just be a fold here? All of his overcards with diamonds get there. Because we flatted he's probably putting us on a wide range with a lot of random diamonds, maybe betting to get value from worse flushes?
River ($1.70) 8 7 J 3 5
Hero checks, MP bets $0.82, Hero folds
Final Pot MP wins $1.63
Rake is $0.07

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